Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Berlin vs Aris Limassol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Latte Lath E.
49' Event
Van Den Bosch Z.
55' Event
Nikolic V.

AI Match Summary

Union Berlin in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Union Berlin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Union Berlin
20%
Draws
47%
Aris Limassol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aris Limassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aris Limassol lately — more wins on the board than Union Berlin.
  • Aris Limassol are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Union Berlin Clean Sheet 10%
Aris Limassol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Berlin Aris Limassol
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.71 1.62
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Club Friendly
Union Berlin vs Aris Limassol
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Berlin Compare

Top Goalscorer Latte Lath E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Van Den Bosch Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Aris Limassol Compare

Top Goalscorer Nikolic V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Effaghe R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Berlin 10 / 100
Aris Limassol 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Berlin Aris Limassol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aris Limassol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Union Berlin's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Aris Limassol conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Union Berlin has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Union Berlin VS Aris Limassol
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Berlin

(Home)
17 Oct
Union Berlin
0 : 0
Dortmund
10 Oct
Union Berlin
1 : 0
Elversberg
26 Sept
Rijeka
0 : 1
Union Berlin
18 Sept
Bayern Munich
7 : 0
Union Berlin
11 Sept
Union Berlin
1 : 3
Schalke
Page 1 of 6

Aris Limassol

(Away)
18 Oct
Aris Limassol
1 : 1
AEK Larnaca
14 Oct
Aris Limassol
4 : 0
Achnas
11 Oct
Ol. Nicosia
1 : 2
Aris Limassol
03 Oct
Aris Limassol
1 : 2
Riga FC
26 Sept
Aris Limassol
4 : 2
Omonia 29th May
Page 1 of 6