Sport Picks
Union Berlin vs Dortmund - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Bundesliga Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin 
Match Events
1'
1'
Nwaneri E.
7'
7'
Anton W.
14'
14'
Guirassy S.
AI Match Summary
The Bundesliga game between Union Berlin and Dortmund finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dortmund
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Dortmund carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Union Berlin Clean Sheet 10%
Dortmund Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Berlin | Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 17, 2026 Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs Dortmund
0:0
Jan 24, 2026 Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs Dortmund
0:3
Aug 31, 2025 Bundesliga
Dortmund vs Union Berlin
3:0
Feb 22, 2025 Bundesliga
Dortmund vs Union Berlin
6:0
Oct 5, 2024 Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs Dortmund
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union Berlin 30 / 100
Dortmund 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union Berlin Dortmund
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dortmund Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Union Berlin scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Dortmund conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Union Berlin stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Union Berlin VS Dortmund
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Union Berlin
(Home) 17 Oct
Union Berlin
0 : 0 Dortmund
10 Oct
Union Berlin
1 : 0 Elversberg
26 Sept
Rijeka
0 : 1 Union Berlin
18 Sept
Bayern Munich
7 : 0 Union Berlin
11 Sept
Union Berlin
1 : 3 Schalke
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Union Berlin
0 : 0 Dortmund
10 Oct
Union Berlin
1 : 0 Elversberg
11 Sept
Union Berlin
1 : 3 Schalke
29 Aug
Union Berlin
3 : 3 Eintracht Frankfurt
15 Aug
Union Berlin
2 : 4 Ipswich
Page 1 of 3
Dortmund
(Away) 17 Oct
Union Berlin
0 : 0 Dortmund
14 Oct
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0 Dortmund
09 Oct
Dortmund
2 : 2 Werder Bremen
19 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 1 Dortmund
12 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 0 Paderborn
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Union Berlin
0 : 0 Dortmund
14 Oct
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0 Dortmund
19 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 1 Dortmund
05 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 3 Dortmund
01 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
0 : 5 Dortmund
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 22:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:9 | 13 |
| 5 | Mainz | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 6 | Elversberg | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 10 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16:11 | 9 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 9 | Hamburger | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:15 | 9 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 8 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 12 | 1. FC Koln | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 13 | VfB Stuttgart | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11:14 | 6 |
| 15 | Schalke | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 5 |
| 16 | Paderborn | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:17 | 5 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8:20 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
