Sport Picks
Union Berlin vs Schalke
Germany
Bundesliga Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin 
Match Events
21'
21'
Sub
Ljubicic D. In: Dina Ebimbe J.
Out: Ljubicic D.
25'
25'
Gosens R.
45'
45'
Kemlein A.
AI Match Summary
The Bundesliga game between Union Berlin and Schalke finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Schalke.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Schalke
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Union Berlin haven't matched Schalke's recent run of results.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Schalke taking it.
- Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Union Berlin Clean Sheet 10%
Schalke Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Berlin | Schalke |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.27 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs Schalke
1:3
Feb 19, 2023 Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs Schalke
0:0
Aug 27, 2022 Bundesliga
Schalke vs Union Berlin
1:6
Feb 13, 2021 Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs Schalke
0:0
Oct 18, 2020 Bundesliga
Schalke vs Union Berlin
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Union Berlin Compare
Top Goalscorer Skarke T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Schalke Compare
Top Goalscorer Gosens R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Aouchiche A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union Berlin 26 / 100
Schalke 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union Berlin Schalke
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Schalke Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:6
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Union Berlin found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Schalke has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Union Berlin stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Union Berlin VS Schalke
2 Goals Scored 2.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Union Berlin
(Home) 18 Sept
Bayern Munich
7 : 0 Union Berlin
11 Sept
Union Berlin
1 : 3 Schalke
05 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0 Union Berlin
29 Aug
Union Berlin
3 : 3 Eintracht Frankfurt
23 Aug
Braunschweig
2 : 4 Union Berlin
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Union Berlin
1 : 3 Schalke
29 Aug
Union Berlin
3 : 3 Eintracht Frankfurt
15 Aug
Union Berlin
2 : 4 Ipswich
09 Aug
Union Berlin
3 : 2 Aris Limassol
02 Aug
Union Berlin
2 : 2 Cagliari
Page 1 of 3
Schalke
(Away) 20 Sept
Schalke
0 : 0 Elversberg
11 Sept
Union Berlin
1 : 3 Schalke
05 Sept
Schalke
0 : 0 Bayern Munich
30 Aug
Augsburg
3 : 0 Schalke
24 Aug
Hallescher
2 : 5 Schalke
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Union Berlin
1 : 3 Schalke
30 Aug
Augsburg
3 : 0 Schalke
24 Aug
Hallescher
2 : 5 Schalke
01 Aug
Kassel
0 : 5 Schalke
22 Jul
FC Kharkiv
0 : 2 Schalke
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 7 |
| 6 | Mainz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 7 |
| 7 | Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:10 | 5 |
| 11 | Schalke | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 12 | Paderborn | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Koln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:13 | 3 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:17 | 1 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
