Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Berlin W vs Bayern Munich W Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Heiseler L.
8' Event
Imade E.
Assist: Amani B.
11' Event
Weidauer S.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 game between Union Berlin W and Bayern Munich W finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bayern Munich W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Union Berlin W
15%
Draws
58%
Bayern Munich W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayern Munich W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bayern Munich W come out ahead of Union Berlin W on wins alone.
  • Bayern Munich W are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bayern Munich W here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Union Berlin W Clean Sheet 10%
Bayern Munich W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Berlin W Bayern Munich W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 28
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 1
Goals Scored 1.93 3
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Union Berlin W vs Bayern Munich W
1:4
Apr 22, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Union Berlin W vs Bayern Munich W
2:3
Nov 7, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Bayern Munich W vs Union Berlin W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Berlin W Compare

Top Goalscorer Weidauer S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kamber L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Bayern Munich W Compare

Top Goalscorer Imade E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dunst B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Berlin W 14 / 100
Bayern Munich W 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Berlin W Bayern Munich W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayern Munich W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Union Berlin W scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Bayern Munich W has conceded goals in 48% of their last 33 outings.

Union Berlin W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Union Berlin W VS Bayern Munich W
1.5 Goals Scored 3.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Berlin W

(Home)
27 Sept
Magdeburg W
0 : 5
Union Berlin W
20 Sept
Union Berlin W
3 : 2
RB Leipzig W
12 Sept
Koln W
3 : 0
Union Berlin W
07 Sept
Union Berlin W
0 : 1
Eintracht Frankfurt W
29 Aug
Freiburg W
1 : 0
Union Berlin W
Page 1 of 6

Bayern Munich W

(Away)
03 Oct
Eintracht Frankfurt W
0 : 1
Bayern Munich W
30 Sept
SL Benfica W
0 : 3
Bayern Munich W
27 Sept
B. Monchengladbach W
1 : 2
Bayern Munich W
22 Sept
Bayern Munich W
2 : 2
Manchester City W
19 Sept
Bayern Munich W
5 : 2
Koln W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich W 26 24 2 0 90:9 74
2 Wolfsburg W 26 18 4 4 72:38 58
3 Eintracht Frankfurt W 26 16 3 7 65:43 51
4 Hoffenheim W 26 14 4 8 48:30 46
5 Bayer Leverkusen W 26 15 1 10 46:36 46
6 Werder Bremen W 26 12 7 7 42:36 43
7 Koln W 26 11 4 11 36:37 37
8 Freiburg W 26 10 4 12 44:46 34
9 Union Berlin W 26 8 6 12 42:51 30
10 RB Leipzig W 26 7 7 12 39:48 28
11 1.FC Nurnberg W 26 6 4 16 33:61 22
12 Hamburger W 26 4 6 16 26:57 18
13 SGS Essen W 26 3 7 16 22:63 16
14 Carl Zeiss Jena W 26 2 5 19 22:72 11
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women (Main)