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Stadium Background

Union Berlin W vs RB Leipzig W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
Union Berlin W Logo

Union Berlin W

3 - 2
FT
RB Leipzig W Logo

RB Leipzig W

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Kamber L.
53' Event
Tuin A.
Assist: Asgeirsdottir E.
61'
Sub
Reissner N. In: Egli L.
Out: Reissner N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga Women game between Union Berlin W and RB Leipzig W finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Berlin W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Union Berlin W
15%
Draws
35%
RB Leipzig W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union Berlin W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Union Berlin W come out ahead of RB Leipzig W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Union Berlin W a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Bundesliga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Union Berlin W here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Union Berlin W Clean Sheet 13%
RB Leipzig W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Berlin W RB Leipzig W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2.38 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Union Berlin W vs RB Leipzig W
3:2
Mar 14, 2026 Bundesliga Women
RB Leipzig W vs Union Berlin W
2:2
Oct 19, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Union Berlin W vs RB Leipzig W
5:0
Sep 8, 2024 DFB Pokal Women
Union Berlin W vs RB Leipzig W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Berlin W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamber L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Steuerwald S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

RB Leipzig W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tuin A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boboy D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Berlin W 75 / 100
RB Leipzig W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Berlin W RB Leipzig W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Berlin W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Berlin W's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Union Berlin W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

RB Leipzig W has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Union Berlin W VS RB Leipzig W
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Berlin W

(Home)
31 Oct
Hamburger W
3 : 4
Union Berlin W
25 Oct
Hamburger W
4 : 4
Union Berlin W
18 Oct
Union Berlin W
2 : 1
1.FC Nurnberg W
04 Oct
VfB Stuttgart W
0 : 4
Union Berlin W
27 Sept
Magdeburg W
0 : 5
Union Berlin W
Page 1 of 6

RB Leipzig W

(Away)
31 Oct
Koln W
1 : 0
RB Leipzig W
23 Oct
RB Leipzig W
1 : 5
Bayern Munich W
16 Oct
Freiburg W
0 : 3
RB Leipzig W
03 Oct
RB Leipzig W
5 : 0
Mainz W
27 Sept
Blau-Gelb Marburg W
0 : 2
RB Leipzig W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich W 8 8 0 0 29:7 24
2 Wolfsburg W 8 7 0 1 26:8 21
3 Eintracht Frankfurt W 8 5 2 1 15:7 17
4 Werder Bremen W 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
5 Bayer Leverkusen W 8 4 1 3 13:12 13
6 Koln W 8 4 0 4 13:12 12
7 RB Leipzig W 8 3 1 4 14:14 10
8 Union Berlin W 8 3 1 4 14:16 10
9 Freiburg W 8 3 1 4 11:14 10
10 Hoffenheim W 8 3 0 5 11:15 9
11 VfB Stuttgart W 8 2 2 4 8:20 8
12 Hamburger W 8 1 3 4 14:15 6
13 1.FC Nurnberg W 8 1 2 5 12:23 5
14 Mainz W 8 0 0 8 4:27 0
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women 2027/2028 (Main)