Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Berlin W vs RB Leipzig W

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Kamber L.
53' Event
Tuin A.
Assist: Asgeirsdottir E.
61'
Sub
Reissner N. In: Egli L.
Out: Reissner N.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga Women game between Union Berlin W and RB Leipzig W finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Berlin W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Union Berlin W
15%
Draws
59%
RB Leipzig W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RB Leipzig W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and RB Leipzig W come out ahead of Union Berlin W on wins alone.
  • Model gives RB Leipzig W a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Bundesliga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Union Berlin W here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Union Berlin W Clean Sheet 10%
RB Leipzig W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Berlin W RB Leipzig W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.75 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Union Berlin W vs RB Leipzig W
3:2
Mar 14, 2026 Bundesliga Women
RB Leipzig W vs Union Berlin W
2:2
Oct 19, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Union Berlin W vs RB Leipzig W
5:0
Sep 8, 2024 DFB Pokal Women
Union Berlin W vs RB Leipzig W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Berlin W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamber L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Steuerwald S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

RB Leipzig W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tuin A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boboy D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Berlin W 26 / 100
RB Leipzig W 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Berlin W RB Leipzig W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RB Leipzig W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RB Leipzig W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Union Berlin W found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Union Berlin W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Union Berlin W VS RB Leipzig W
0.75 Goals Scored 3.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Berlin W

(Home)
12 Sept
Koln W
3 : 0
Union Berlin W
07 Sept
Union Berlin W
0 : 1
Eintracht Frankfurt W
29 Aug
Freiburg W
1 : 0
Union Berlin W
21 Aug
Union Berlin W
1 : 4
Bayern Munich W
15 Aug
PSG W
1 : 3
Union Berlin W
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RB Leipzig W

(Away)
12 Sept
RB Leipzig W
2 : 1
1.FC Nurnberg W
05 Sept
Hamburger W
1 : 1
RB Leipzig W
30 Aug
Werder Bremen W
2 : 0
RB Leipzig W
23 Aug
RB Leipzig W
0 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen W
15 Aug
RB Leipzig W
10 : 1
Carl Zeiss Jena W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich W 5 5 0 0 18:6 15
2 Eintracht Frankfurt W 5 4 1 0 11:5 13
3 Wolfsburg W 5 4 0 1 16:7 12
4 Koln W 5 3 0 2 10:7 9
5 Werder Bremen W 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
6 Freiburg W 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
7 VfB Stuttgart W 4 2 1 1 7:7 7
8 Bayer Leverkusen W 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
9 RB Leipzig W 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
10 Hoffenheim W 5 1 0 4 6:10 3
11 Hamburger W 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
12 1.FC Nurnberg W 4 0 2 2 7:14 2
13 Union Berlin W 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
14 Mainz W 5 0 0 5 3:14 0
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women 2027/2028 (Main)