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Union Brescia vs Cittadella - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie C Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Brescia
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Anastasia E.
27'
Di Molfetta D.
35'
Sangalli M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Union Brescia
15%
Draws
48%
Cittadella
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cittadella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Cittadella have won more games recently than Union Brescia.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Cittadella arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Union Brescia, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Union Brescia Clean Sheet 18%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Brescia Cittadella
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 18
Draws 11 4
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.39 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Union Brescia vs Cittadella
1:2
Oct 24, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Union Brescia vs Cittadella
2:1
Apr 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Union Brescia vs Cittadella
2:1
Dec 1, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Union Brescia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Brescia Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Molfetta D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Cittadella Compare

Top Goalscorer Ignatov E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Redolfi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Brescia 32 / 100
Cittadella 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Brescia Cittadella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Brescia scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Cittadella let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Union Brescia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Union Brescia VS Cittadella
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Brescia

(Home)
28 Oct
Union Brescia
1 : 2
Cittadella
24 Oct
Union Brescia
2 : 1
Cittadella
19 Oct
Giana Erminio
2 : 1
Union Brescia
09 Oct
Union Brescia
2 : 0
Pro Vercelli
04 Oct
Lecco
2 : 2
Union Brescia
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Cittadella

(Away)
28 Oct
Union Brescia
1 : 2
Cittadella
24 Oct
Union Brescia
2 : 1
Cittadella
19 Oct
Cittadella
1 : 0
Arzignano
10 Oct
Novara
0 : 2
Cittadella
03 Oct
Cittadella
1 : 2
AlbinoLeffe
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Campobasso 2
Cavese 0
Salernitana 1
Scafatese 2
Grosseto 3
Guidonia 1937 0
Latina 2
Ostiamare 1
Vado 2
Inter U23 1
Spezia 4
Sassari Torres 1
Alcione Milano 0
Novara 1
Livorno 3
Reggiana 1
Potenza -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Monopoli 2
Bari 1
Casarano 0
Picerno 2
Barletta 1
Catania -
TBD -
Casertana 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Giugliano 0
Sorrento 1
Crotone 0
Cosenza 2
Foggia 1
Altamura 2
Pescara 0
Sambenedettese 1
Pineto 1
Gubbio 2
Perugia 1
Vis Pesaro 2
Lecco 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 2
Ospitaletto 1
Arzignano 2
AlbinoLeffe 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Treviso 0
Carpi 3
Pianese 2
Pro Vercelli 2
Pergolettese 1
Ravenna -
TBD -
Juventus U23 1
Forli FC 2
Union Brescia -
TBD -
Giana Erminio 2
Folgore Caratese 1
Cittadella 3
Atalanta U23 2
Lumezzane 2
Renate 3
1/16-finals
Campobasso 2
Scafatese 1
Grosseto 1
Latina 4
Vado 0
Spezia 3
Novara 0
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Monopoli 1
Bari 2
Picerno 1
Catania 0
A.C. Savoia 3
Sorrento 1
Cosenza 0
Altamura 3
Sambenedettese 2
Gubbio 5
Vis Pesaro 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 0
Arzignano 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 3
Carpi 2
Pro Vercelli 1
Ravenna 2
Forli FC 1
Union Brescia 5
Giana Erminio 2
Cittadella 4
Renate 1
1/8-finals
Campobasso 2
Latina 0
Spezia 2
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Bari 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Sorrento 0
Altamura 1
Gubbio 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 0
Carpi 4
Ravenna 3
Union Brescia 1
Cittadella 2
Quarter-finals
Campobasso -
Spezia -
Potenza -
A.C. Savoia -
Altamura -
Desenzano Calvina -
Carpi -
Cittadella -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -