Sport Picks
Union Brescia vs Pro Patria Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Brescia 
Match Events
4'
4'
Desogus J.
14'
14'
Masi A.
32'
32'
Fogliata R.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Union Brescia and Pro Patria finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Brescia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
30%
40%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pro Patria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Union Brescia come out ahead of Pro Patria on wins alone.
- Model gives Union Brescia a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Union Brescia Clean Sheet 19%
Pro Patria Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Brescia | Pro Patria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 11 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.36 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.82 | 1.78 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 22, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Union Brescia vs Pro Patria
3:2
Oct 12, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pro Patria vs Union Brescia
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Union Brescia Compare
Top Goalscorer Fogliata R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cazzadori D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Pro Patria Compare
Top Goalscorer Desogus J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union Brescia 42 / 100
Pro Patria 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union Brescia Pro Patria
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Pro Patria conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Union Brescia stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Union Brescia scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
Scoring Trends
Union Brescia VS Pro Patria
2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Union Brescia
(Home) 27 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 1 Dolomiti Bellunesi
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4 Union Brescia
17 Sept
Union Brescia
2 : 2 Treviso
13 Sept
Trento
0 : 0 Union Brescia
06 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 1 Dolomiti Bellunesi
17 Sept
Union Brescia
2 : 2 Treviso
06 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
02 Sept
Union Brescia
5 : 2 Giana Erminio
21 Aug
Union Brescia
3 : 1 Carpi
Page 1 of 3
Pro Patria
(Away) 27 Sept
Pro Patria
0 : 1 Solbiatese
20 Sept
Arconatese
0 : 3 Pro Patria
16 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 0 Crema
12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3 Pro Patria
06 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 1 Oltrepo
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Arconatese
0 : 3 Pro Patria
12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3 Pro Patria
25 Apr
Renate
2 : 1 Pro Patria
13 Apr
Dolomiti Bellunesi
2 : 4 Pro Patria
28 Mar
Pergolettese
2 : 1 Pro Patria
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 69:26 | 89 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 49:24 | 69 |
| 3 | Renate | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 53:37 | 64 |
| 4 | Lecco | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 47:34 | 64 |
| 5 | Trento | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:42 | 63 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 45:43 | 59 |
| 7 | Lumezzane | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 46:39 | 56 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 35:28 | 55 |
| 9 | Arzignano | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:48 | 53 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 38:39 | 52 |
| 11 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 51:49 | 50 |
| 12 | Inter U23 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:41 | 48 |
| 13 | Novara | 38 | 9 | 20 | 9 | 40:39 | 47 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 39:55 | 46 |
| 15 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 37:50 | 41 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:61 | 40 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 34:62 | 25 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 38 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 34:70 | 23 |
| 20 | Triestina | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 45:59 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
