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Union Brescia vs Pro Vercelli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Brescia
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Crespi V.
Assist: Boci B.
17'
Pagliari M.
24'
Balestrero D.

AI Match Summary

Union Brescia in this Serie C - Group A matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Union Brescia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Union Brescia
35%
Draws
23%
Pro Vercelli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Union Brescia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Union Brescia have won more games recently than Pro Vercelli.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Union Brescia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Union Brescia here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Union Brescia Clean Sheet 20%
Pro Vercelli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Brescia Pro Vercelli
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 13 5
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Union Brescia vs Pro Vercelli
2:0
Jan 18, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pro Vercelli vs Union Brescia
0:0
Sep 6, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Union Brescia vs Pro Vercelli
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Brescia Compare

Top Goalscorer Crespi V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pellegrini J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Pro Vercelli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Brescia 85 / 100
Pro Vercelli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Brescia Pro Vercelli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Brescia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Union Brescia stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Union Brescia found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Pro Vercelli let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Union Brescia VS Pro Vercelli
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Brescia

(Home)
09 Oct
Union Brescia
2 : 0
Pro Vercelli
04 Oct
Lecco
2 : 2
Union Brescia
27 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4
Union Brescia
17 Sept
Union Brescia
2 : 2
Treviso
Page 1 of 7

Pro Vercelli

(Away)
09 Oct
Union Brescia
2 : 0
Pro Vercelli
03 Oct
Pro Vercelli
2 : 0
Carpi
26 Sept
Giana Erminio
1 : 1
Pro Vercelli
21 Sept
Trento
4 : 0
Pro Vercelli
17 Sept
Pro Vercelli
2 : 2
Alcione Milano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 9 8 0 1 16:4 24
2 Union Brescia 9 5 4 0 16:6 19
3 Arzignano 9 5 2 2 14:10 17
4 Ospitaletto 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
5 Trento 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
6 Treviso 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
7 Desenzano Calvina 9 3 4 2 8:7 13
8 AlbinoLeffe 9 3 3 3 14:13 12
9 Alcione Milano 8 2 5 1 12:13 11
10 Lumezzane 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
11 Pergolettese 9 2 5 2 5:6 11
12 Dolomiti Bellunesi 9 2 4 3 7:9 10
13 Novara 9 2 3 4 8:12 9
14 Pro Vercelli 9 2 3 4 8:13 9
15 Lecco 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
16 Carpi 9 1 3 5 11:19 6
17 Folgore Caratese 8 1 3 4 9:12 6
18 Juventus U23 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
19 Giana Erminio 8 0 4 4 6:10 4
20 Renate 8 0 3 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)