Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Brescia vs Treviso

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Brescia
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Romeo F.
38'
Crespi V.
45' Event
Brevi T.
Assist: Cappelletti D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A game between Union Brescia and Treviso finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Union Brescia
35%
Draws
27%
Treviso
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Union Brescia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Union Brescia come out ahead of Treviso on wins alone.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Union Brescia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Union Brescia Clean Sheet 68%
Treviso Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Brescia Treviso
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 15 12
Draws 12 8
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.36 1.36
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Union Brescia vs Treviso
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Brescia Compare

Top Goalscorer Zennaro M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rizzo Pinna A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Treviso Compare

Top Goalscorer Brevi T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maestrelli A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Brescia 86 / 100
Treviso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Brescia Treviso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Brescia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Union Brescia remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Union Brescia found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Treviso conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Union Brescia VS Treviso
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Brescia

(Home)
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4
Union Brescia
17 Sept
Union Brescia
2 : 2
Treviso
13 Sept
Trento
0 : 0
Union Brescia
06 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 0
Desenzano Calvina
02 Sept
Union Brescia
5 : 2
Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 7

Treviso

(Away)
17 Sept
Union Brescia
2 : 2
Treviso
13 Sept
Treviso
2 : 1
Pro Vercelli
07 Sept
Alcione Milano
1 : 1
Treviso
31 Aug
Treviso
1 : 0
Lecco
23 Aug
Trento
2 : 1
Treviso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 7 7 0 0 13:2 21
2 Ospitaletto 7 4 2 1 13:5 14
3 Union Brescia 6 4 2 0 11:3 14
4 Trento 7 3 4 0 9:3 13
5 Arzignano 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
6 Alcione Milano 6 2 3 1 9:10 9
7 Treviso 6 2 3 1 7:6 9
8 Dolomiti Bellunesi 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
9 AlbinoLeffe 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
10 Lumezzane 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
11 Lecco 7 2 2 3 4:6 8
12 Desenzano Calvina 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
13 Pergolettese 7 1 4 2 1:3 7
14 Carpi 6 1 3 2 10:12 6
15 Folgore Caratese 7 1 3 3 8:10 6
16 Juventus U23 7 1 3 3 7:13 6
17 Novara 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
18 Pro Vercelli 7 1 3 3 6:11 6
19 Giana Erminio 7 0 3 4 6:10 3
20 Renate 6 0 2 4 5:10 2
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)