Sport Picks
Union Brescia vs Triestina
Italy
Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Brescia 
Match Events
14'
14'
Rizzo A.
23'
23'
Silvestro A.
36'
36'
Sub
Silvestro A. In: D'Amore F.
Out: Silvestro A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
35%
16%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Union Brescia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Union Brescia have won more games recently than Triestina.
- Union Brescia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Union Brescia Clean Sheet 68%
Triestina Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Brescia | Triestina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 6 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 5 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 7, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Union Brescia vs Triestina
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Union Brescia
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union Brescia 95 / 100
Triestina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union Brescia Triestina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union Brescia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Triestina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Union Brescia stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Union Brescia scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Union Brescia VS Triestina
1.63 Goals Scored 0.67
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.33
88% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Union Brescia
(Home) 27 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 1 Dolomiti Bellunesi
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4 Union Brescia
17 Sept
Union Brescia
2 : 2 Treviso
13 Sept
Trento
0 : 0 Union Brescia
06 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 1 Dolomiti Bellunesi
17 Sept
Union Brescia
2 : 2 Treviso
06 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
02 Sept
Union Brescia
5 : 2 Giana Erminio
21 Aug
Union Brescia
3 : 1 Carpi
Page 1 of 3
Triestina
(Away) 27 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
3 : 0 Triestina
20 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1 Bassano Virtus
16 Sept
Campodarsego
2 : 1 Triestina
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1 Calvi Noale
06 Sept
Altavilla
1 : 1 Triestina
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
3 : 0 Triestina
16 Sept
Campodarsego
2 : 1 Triestina
06 Sept
Altavilla
1 : 1 Triestina
19 Apr
AlbinoLeffe
3 : 0 Triestina
06 Apr
Pro Patria
1 : 1 Triestina
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 69:26 | 89 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 49:24 | 69 |
| 3 | Renate | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 53:37 | 64 |
| 4 | Lecco | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 47:34 | 64 |
| 5 | Trento | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:42 | 63 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 45:43 | 59 |
| 7 | Lumezzane | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 46:39 | 56 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 35:28 | 55 |
| 9 | Arzignano | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:48 | 53 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 38:39 | 52 |
| 11 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 51:49 | 50 |
| 12 | Inter U23 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:41 | 48 |
| 13 | Novara | 38 | 9 | 20 | 9 | 40:39 | 47 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 39:55 | 46 |
| 15 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 37:50 | 41 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:61 | 40 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 34:62 | 25 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 38 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 34:70 | 23 |
| 20 | Triestina | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 45:59 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
