Sport Picks

Norway

Division 3 - Group 1

Baerum

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Union Carl Berner play Baerum in the Division 3 - Group 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Union Carl Berner averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Baerum averaged 2.76 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Union Carl Berner won 1, Baerum won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Union Carl Berner and 1.94 for Baerum. This points to a Union Carl Berner double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Union Carl Berner

17%

Draws

37%

Baerum

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Union Carl Berner

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Union Carl Berner picked up more points recently compared to Baerum.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 93%

Over 2.5 Goals 73%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%

Union Carl Berner Clean Sheet 10%

Baerum Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 84%

Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Union Carl Berner	Baerum
Matches Played	14	29
Wins	7	12
Draws	0	7
Losses	7	10
Goals Scored	1.5	2.76
Goals Conceded	1.5	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1

Union Carl Berner vs Baerum

Possession: 41% - 48% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Carl Berner Compare

Top Goalscorer Aslaksrud J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Steiro A. G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Baerum Compare

Avg xG / game 2.5

Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Carl Berner 43 / 100

Baerum 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Union Carl Berner Baerum

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Union Carl Berner or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21%

2.63

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.8%

1.49

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Union Carl Berner attacking → ← attacking Baerum

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Carl Berner scored in 71% of their last 14 games.

Baerum let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Union Carl Berner went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Baerum lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 43

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.75

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13