Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Carl Berner vs Skeid

Norway Norway

NM Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Rise B.
(Penalty)
65' Event
Rise B.
Assist: Saad Y.
66' Event
Saad Y.
Assist: Fiksdal J.

AI Match Summary

Skeid in this NM Cup 2025 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Union Carl Berner
15%
Draws
85%
Skeid
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Skeid

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Union Carl Berner haven't matched Skeid's recent run of results.
  • 0% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Skeid arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Skeid, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Union Carl Berner Clean Sheet 13%
Skeid Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Carl Berner Skeid
Matches Played 18 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 0 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.39 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 NM Cup
Union Carl Berner vs Skeid
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Carl Berner Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Skeid Compare

Top Goalscorer Rise B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saad Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Carl Berner 30 / 100
Skeid 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Carl Berner Skeid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Carl Berner Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skeid let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Union Carl Berner scored in 78% of their last 18 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Skeid lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union Carl Berner VS Skeid
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Carl Berner

(Home)
15 Aug
Ullern
4 : 1
Union Carl Berner
07 Aug
Union Carl Berner
1 : 2
Konnerud
31 Jul
Gamle Oslo
3 : 1
Union Carl Berner
27 Jul
Union Carl Berner
1 : 2
Asker
26 Jun
Valerenga 2
2 : 1
Union Carl Berner
Page 1 of 4

Skeid

(Away)
30 Aug
Trygg/Lade
1 : 1
Skeid
22 Aug
Nordstrand
1 : 4
Skeid
16 Aug
Skeid
0 : 5
Levanger
09 Aug
Rana FK
2 : 0
Skeid
01 Aug
Skeid
1 : 5
Grorud
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
NHHI 1
Sandviken 3
Volda 1
Sogndal 2
Elverum 2
Gjovik-Lyn 0
Ridabu 0
Kongsvinger 12
Melbo 0
Sortland 1
Ulfstind 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 3
Trygg/Lade 0
Strindheim 1
Rindal 1
Rosenborg 11
FK Kvik 0
Stjordals Blink 1
Sverresborg IF 2
Ranheim 4
Vindbjart 0
Jerv 3
Eiger 1
Egersund 7
Gamle Oslo 2
Valerenga 1
Sprint-Jeloy 0
Sarpsborg 08 4
Orn 2
Arendal 1
Teie 0
Sandefjord 5
Nordstrand 3
Ull/Kisa 4
Rollon 0
Aalesund 3
Junkeren 2
Harstad 1
Innstrandens 0
Bodo/Glimt 8
Oppsal 0
Kjelsas 1
Rade 1
Lyn 2
Frigg 1
Lorenskog 3
Lillehammer 0
Ham-Kam 2
OS TF 4
Fana 2
Gneist IL 0
Lysekloster 2
Djerv 1919 2
Sotra 3
Askoy 1
Asane 5
Ullern 2
Follo 5
Kvik Halden 1
Moss 3
Brodd 1
Flekkeroy 3
Hana 0
Viking 6
Fram 4
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Notodden 0
Stabaek 3
Vidar 2
Sandnes Ulf 0
Nord 0
Haugesund 11
Bjorkelangen 1
Strommen 6
Brumunddal 1
Raufoss 4
Assiden 1
Mjondalen 4
Konnerud 0
Stromsgodset 5
Verdal 0
Levanger 8
Mosjoen 0
Rana FK 4
Spjelkavik 0
Traeff 2
Elnesvagen 0
Molde 7
Bjornevatn IL 0
Alta 11
Union Carl Berner 0
Skeid 3
Byasen 3
Nardo 5
Melhus 1
Kristiansund 5
Baerum 3
Grorud 4
Brattvag 1
Hodd 2
Skedsmo 0
Eidsvold TF 5
Skjetten 0
Lillestrom 5
Honefoss 0
Pors 1
Vag 2
Start 4
Flint 3
Odds BK 2
Sarpsborg FK 0
Fredrikstad 4
Torvastad IL 2
V. Haugesund 0
Varhaug 0
Bryne 4
Fjora 1
Bjarg 3
Varegg 0
Brann 6
Skjervoy 2
Floya 1
Hamna 0
Tromso 10
Ready 4
Asker 3
Grei 1
KFUM Oslo 5
1/32-finals
Sandviken 0
Sogndal 4
Elverum 2
Kongsvinger 7
Sortland 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 5
Strindheim 0
Rosenborg 3
Stjordals Blink 1
Ranheim 2
Jerv 0
Egersund 1
Gamle Oslo 1
Sarpsborg 08 6
Orn 0
Sandefjord 2
Ull/Kisa 2
Aalesund 3
Junkeren 1
Bodo/Glimt 5
Kjelsas 0
Lyn 3
Lorenskog 0
Ham-Kam 1
OS TF 5
Lysekloster 4
Sotra 0
Asane 2
Follo 2
Moss 3
Flekkeroy 0
Viking 3
Fram 0
Stabaek 4
Vidar 1
Haugesund 2
Strommen 2
Raufoss 1
Mjondalen 2
Stromsgodset 1
Levanger 1
Rana FK 2
Traeff 1
Molde 2
Alta 3
Skeid 0
Nardo 1
Kristiansund 4
Grorud 3
Hodd 1
Eidsvold TF 0
Lillestrom 2
Pors 3
Start 2
Flint 0
Fredrikstad 5
Torvastad IL 1
Bryne 2
Bjarg 0
Brann 2
Skjervoy 0
Tromso 1
Ready 0
KFUM Oslo 3
1/16-finals
Sogndal 3
Kongsvinger 4
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 0
Rosenborg 5
Ranheim 2
Egersund 3
Sarpsborg 08 3
Sandefjord 1
Aalesund 1
Bodo/Glimt 0
Lyn 0
Ham-Kam 2
OS TF 1
Asane 4
Moss 0
Viking 1
Stabaek 2
Haugesund 1
Strommen 1
Mjondalen 3
Rana FK 0
Molde 4
Alta 0
Kristiansund 4
Grorud 2
Lillestrom 3
Pors 1
Fredrikstad 3
Bryne 2
Brann 1
Tromso 0
KFUM Oslo 1
1/8-finals
Kongsvinger 2
Rosenborg 3
Egersund 1
Sarpsborg 08 3
Aalesund 3
Ham-Kam 2
Asane 0
Viking 7
Stabaek 4
Mjondalen 3
Molde 3
Kristiansund 4
Lillestrom 2
Fredrikstad 1
Bryne 0
KFUM Oslo 2
Quarter-finals
Rosenborg 2
Sarpsborg 08 3
Aalesund 0
Viking 1
Stabaek 2
Kristiansund 3
Lillestrom 2
KFUM Oslo 0
Semi-finals
Sarpsborg 08 1
Viking 0
Kristiansund 0
Lillestrom 2
Final
Sarpsborg 08 1
Lillestrom 3