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Union Club Ceares vs Condal Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Ferreiro P.
40' Event
Nistal M.
88'
Granda B.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 game between Union Club Ceares and Condal finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Club Ceares.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Union Club Ceares
20%
Draws
63%
Condal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Condal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Condal haven't matched Union Club Ceares's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Condal's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Union Club Ceares Clean Sheet 12%
Condal Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Club Ceares Condal
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.23 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Condal
2:0
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Condal vs Union Club Ceares
2:1
Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Condal vs Union Club Ceares
2:0
Sep 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Condal
2:1
Jan 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Condal vs Union Club Ceares
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Club Ceares Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreiro P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nistal M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Condal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 0.96

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Club Ceares 10 / 100
Condal 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Club Ceares Condal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Condal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Club Ceares found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Condal has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Union Club Ceares went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union Club Ceares VS Condal
1.5 Goals Scored 1.33
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.33
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Club Ceares

(Home)
03 Oct
Union Club Ceares
1 : 2
EI San Martin
26 Sept
Club Siero
2 : 0
Union Club Ceares
20 Sept
Union Club Ceares
3 : 4
CD Colunga
13 Sept
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1
Union Club Ceares
06 Sept
Union Club Ceares
2 : 1
Langreo
Page 1 of 7

Condal

(Away)
04 Oct
Llanes
1 : 1
Condal
27 Sept
Gijon Industrial
1 : 2
Condal
20 Sept
Condal
0 : 0
CD Mosconia
13 Sept
EI San Martin
0 : 4
Condal
06 Sept
Condal
1 : 0
Club Siero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Oviedo B 34 28 5 1 82:14 89
2 Caudal Deportivo 34 23 7 4 67:15 76
3 Covadonga 34 22 7 5 59:17 73
4 Gijon B 34 18 13 3 60:23 67
5 Lealtad 34 16 10 8 56:31 58
6 CD Mosconia 34 16 10 8 45:31 58
7 L Entregu CF 34 14 9 11 44:44 51
8 Praviano 34 10 14 10 32:36 44
9 CD Colunga 34 10 11 13 45:43 41
10 Tuilla 34 11 7 16 31:41 40
11 Aviles Stadium 34 10 8 16 28:63 38
12 Union Club Ceares 34 9 11 14 36:44 38
13 Real Titanico 34 10 6 18 38:56 36
14 EI San Martin 34 6 14 14 23:36 32
15 Lenense 34 8 8 18 30:63 32
16 Basico Urraca 34 5 12 17 35:56 27
17 Condal 34 6 8 20 20:59 26
18 CD Roces 34 1 6 27 16:75 9
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 (Play Offs)