Sport Picks
Union Comercio vs AD Cantolao
Peru
Liga 2 Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre Garcia, Tarapoto 
Match Events
5'
5'
Pinedo A.
32'
32'
Ramos J.
40'
40'
Mayo J.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 2 game between Union Comercio and AD Cantolao finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Comercio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Union Comercio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Union Comercio carry the better recent record into this one.
- Union Comercio are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Union Comercio have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Union Comercio Clean Sheet 68%
AD Cantolao Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Comercio | AD Cantolao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.67 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 7, 2026 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs AD Cantolao
4:0
Apr 26, 2026 Liga 2
AD Cantolao vs Union Comercio
0:1
Jun 22, 2025 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs AD Cantolao
1:0
May 4, 2025 Liga 2
AD Cantolao vs Union Comercio
0:1
Aug 26, 2023 Liga 1
Union Comercio vs AD Cantolao
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Union Comercio Compare
Top Goalscorer Pinedo A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gomez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
AD Cantolao Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union Comercio 86 / 100
AD Cantolao 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union Comercio AD Cantolao
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union Comercio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AD Cantolao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Union Comercio scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Union Comercio has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Union Comercio VS AD Cantolao
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Union Comercio
(Home) 13 Sept
ADA Jaen
1 : 0 Union Comercio
06 Sept
Union Comercio
1 : 0 U. San Martin
30 Aug
Llacuabamba
1 : 1 Union Comercio
23 Aug
Union Comercio
0 : 0 Carlos Mannucci
17 Aug
Pirata
1 : 2 Union Comercio
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Union Comercio
1 : 0 U. San Martin
23 Aug
Union Comercio
0 : 0 Carlos Mannucci
07 Aug
Union Comercio
4 : 0 AD Cantolao
20 Jun
Union Comercio
0 : 1 Comerciantes FC
31 May
Union Comercio
1 : 0 ADA Jaen
Page 1 of 3
AD Cantolao
(Away) 13 Sept
U. San Martin
2 : 2 AD Cantolao
05 Sept
AD Cantolao
3 : 2 Llacuabamba
29 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
2 : 0 AD Cantolao
23 Aug
AD Cantolao
1 : 1 Pirata
07 Aug
Union Comercio
4 : 0 AD Cantolao
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
U. San Martin
2 : 2 AD Cantolao
29 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
2 : 0 AD Cantolao
07 Aug
Union Comercio
4 : 0 AD Cantolao
28 Jun
Sport Boys
3 : 0 AD Cantolao
24 May
Llacuabamba
3 : 0 AD Cantolao
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Comercio | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 16:5 | 29 |
| 2 | Carlos Mannucci | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 19:12 | 27 |
| 3 | Llacuabamba | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 20:10 | 25 |
| 4 | Pirata | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22:20 | 22 |
| 5 | U. San Martin | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 6 | ADA Jaen | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 11:12 | 18 |
| 7 | Cesar Vallejo | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 11:13 | 16 |
| 8 | AD Cantolao | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 16:30 | 11 |
| 9 | San Marcos | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1:17 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tacna Heroica | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 22:13 | 29 |
| 2 | Comerciantes FC | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:15 | 26 |
| 3 | Union Minas | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 25:12 | 25 |
| 4 | Sport Huancayo 2 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 22:13 | 25 |
| 5 | Alianza Huanuco | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18:18 | 21 |
| 6 | Santos FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19:22 | 21 |
| 7 | Ayacucho | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:21 | 19 |
| 8 | Estudiantil CNI | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 25:21 | 17 |
| 9 | Binacional | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10:49 | 10 |
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)
