Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Comercio vs Llacuabamba

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Iraola G.
26'
Sanchez D.
44'
Segura J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 game between Union Comercio and Llacuabamba finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Union Comercio
35%
Draws
23%
Llacuabamba
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Union Comercio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Union Comercio come out ahead of Llacuabamba on wins alone.
  • Model gives Union Comercio a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Union Comercio Clean Sheet 68%
Llacuabamba Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Comercio Llacuabamba
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.55 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs Union Comercio
1:1
May 17, 2026 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs Llacuabamba
0:0
Jul 31, 2022 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs Union Comercio
0:3
May 1, 2022 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs Llacuabamba
2:0
Sep 21, 2021 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs Union Comercio
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Comercio 77 / 100
Llacuabamba 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Comercio Llacuabamba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Comercio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Comercio has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Union Comercio found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Llacuabamba let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Union Comercio VS Llacuabamba
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Comercio

(Home)
30 Aug
Llacuabamba
1 : 1
Union Comercio
23 Aug
Union Comercio
0 : 0
Carlos Mannucci
17 Aug
Pirata
1 : 2
Union Comercio
07 Aug
Union Comercio
4 : 0
AD Cantolao
25 Jul
Cesar Vallejo
0 : 0
Union Comercio
Page 1 of 7

Llacuabamba

(Away)
30 Aug
Llacuabamba
1 : 1
Union Comercio
23 Aug
Cesar Vallejo
2 : 0
Llacuabamba
08 Aug
ADA Jaen
0 : 0
Llacuabamba
01 Aug
Llacuabamba
3 : 0
U. San Martin
19 Jul
Carlos Mannucci
1 : 0
Llacuabamba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 13 7 5 1 15:4 26
2 Llacuabamba 13 7 3 3 18:7 24
3 Carlos Mannucci 14 7 3 4 15:10 24
4 Pirata 13 6 3 4 20:16 21
5 U. San Martin 12 5 2 5 18:14 17
6 Cesar Vallejo 13 4 4 5 11:12 16
7 ADA Jaen 12 2 6 4 9:12 12
8 AD Cantolao 13 1 4 8 11:26 7
9 San Marcos 5 0 0 5 1:17 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tacna Heroica 15 8 4 3 21:12 28
2 Comerciantes FC 15 5 8 2 19:14 23
3 Union Minas 14 5 6 3 22:11 21
4 Ayacucho 14 5 4 5 18:14 19
5 Alianza Huanuco 14 5 4 5 17:17 19
6 Sport Huancayo 2 14 5 4 5 13:13 19
7 Santos FC 14 5 3 6 15:19 18
8 Estudiantil CNI 14 4 4 6 23:16 16
9 Binacional 14 2 3 9 10:42 9
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)