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Stadium Background

Union de Santa Fe 2 vs Velez Sarsfield 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Union de Santa Fe 2
20%
Draws
44%
Velez Sarsfield 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Velez Sarsfield 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Velez Sarsfield 2 have won more games recently than Union de Santa Fe 2.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Union de Santa Fe 2 Clean Sheet 68%
Velez Sarsfield 2 Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union de Santa Fe 2 Velez Sarsfield 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 18
Draws 15 6
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 1.38 1.62
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 Reserve League
Union de Santa Fe 2 vs Velez Sarsfield 2
0:0
Apr 1, 2026 Reserve League
Velez Sarsfield 2 vs Union de Santa Fe 2
4:0
Nov 17, 2024 Reserve League
Velez Sarsfield 2 vs Union de Santa Fe 2
1:2
Jul 20, 2023 Reserve League
Union de Santa Fe 2 vs Velez Sarsfield 2
0:1
Aug 5, 2022 Reserve League
Velez Sarsfield 2 vs Union de Santa Fe 2
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union de Santa Fe 2 41 / 100
Velez Sarsfield 2 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union de Santa Fe 2 Velez Sarsfield 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union de Santa Fe 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union de Santa Fe 2 scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Union de Santa Fe 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Velez Sarsfield 2 has conceded goals in 41% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Union de Santa Fe 2 VS Velez Sarsfield 2
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Union de Santa Fe 2

(Home)
06 Oct
Union de Santa Fe 2
5 : 0
Banfield 2
30 Sept
Rosario Central 2
2 : 0
Union de Santa Fe 2
25 Sept
Colon Santa Fe 2
2 : 1
Union de Santa Fe 2
16 Sept
Union de Santa Fe 2
5 : 1
Tigre 2
09 Sept
San Lorenzo 2
0 : 1
Union de Santa Fe 2
Page 1 of 6

Velez Sarsfield 2

(Away)
08 Oct
Sarmiento Junin 2
0 : 1
Velez Sarsfield 2
01 Oct
Velez Sarsfield 2
1 : 1
Argentinos Jrs 2
22 Sept
Velez Sarsfield 2
4 : 0
Ferro 2
15 Sept
Aldosivi 2
0 : 1
Velez Sarsfield 2
08 Sept
Velez Sarsfield 2
0 : 0
Gimnasia L.P. 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 2 12 5 7 0 20:10 22
2 Velez Sarsfield 2 12 5 5 2 12:4 20
3 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 12 6 2 4 14:12 20
4 Rosario Central 2 12 5 5 2 17:16 20
5 Gimnasia L.P. 2 12 4 5 3 13:8 17
6 Sarmiento Junin 2 12 4 5 3 11:8 17
7 Godoy Cruz 2 12 4 5 3 14:12 17
8 San Lorenzo 2 12 5 2 5 13:11 17
9 Talleres Cordoba 2 12 4 5 3 12:11 17
10 Union de Santa Fe 2 12 3 7 2 17:10 16
11 Instituto 2 12 3 6 3 15:16 15
12 Atl. Tucuman 2 12 4 3 5 9:13 15
13 Tigre 2 12 4 2 6 15:20 14
14 Racing Club 2 12 2 7 3 19:20 13
15 Aldosivi 2 12 2 5 5 10:14 11
16 Argentinos Jrs 2 12 2 5 5 7:12 11
17 Banfield 2 12 2 3 7 10:22 9
18 Barracas Central 2 12 1 5 6 8:19 8
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente 2 12 8 3 1 25:9 27
2 Lanus 2 12 8 2 2 23:13 26
3 Deportivo Riestra 2 12 7 2 3 22:11 23
4 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 12 6 5 1 13:7 23
5 Boca Juniors 2 12 6 4 2 16:8 22
6 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 12 6 4 2 19:17 22
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 12 6 3 3 19:11 21
8 Atl. Rafaela 2 12 5 4 3 14:14 19
9 Huracan 2 12 5 2 5 14:10 17
10 Quilmes 2 12 4 4 4 10:10 16
11 Newells Old Boys 2 12 3 5 4 14:12 14
12 Defensa y Justicia 2 12 2 6 4 18:19 12
13 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 12 3 3 6 10:19 12
14 San Martin S.J. 2 12 2 4 6 9:21 10
15 Ind. Rivadavia 2 12 2 3 7 13:23 9
16 Colon Santa Fe 2 12 2 2 8 8:17 8
17 Platense 2 12 0 7 5 6:15 7
18 Ferro 2 12 1 3 8 9:24 6
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)