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Union de Santa Fe vs Defensa y Justicia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe
Union de Santa Fe Logo

Union de Santa Fe

0 - 2
FT
Defensa y Justicia Logo

Defensa y Justicia

Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Mosqueira J.
43' Event
Gutierrez J.
Assist: Barbona D.
45' Event
Perez C.
Assist: Gutierrez J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Defensa y Justicia in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Defensa y Justicia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Union de Santa Fe
15%
Draws
53%
Defensa y Justicia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Defensa y Justicia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Union de Santa Fe at 1.52 per game, Defensa y Justicia at 1.32.
  • Defensa y Justicia are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Union de Santa Fe Clean Sheet 17%
Defensa y Justicia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union de Santa Fe Defensa y Justicia
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.52 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs Defensa y Justicia
0:2
Mar 21, 2026 Liga Profesional
Defensa y Justicia vs Union de Santa Fe
2:0
Oct 21, 2025 Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs Defensa y Justicia
3:0
Apr 14, 2025 Liga Profesional
Defensa y Justicia vs Union de Santa Fe
0:0
Dec 15, 2024 Liga Profesional
Defensa y Justicia vs Union de Santa Fe
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union de Santa Fe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Defensa y Justicia Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union de Santa Fe 28 / 100
Defensa y Justicia 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union de Santa Fe Defensa y Justicia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Defensa y Justicia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Union de Santa Fe scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Defensa y Justicia conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Union de Santa Fe went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union de Santa Fe VS Defensa y Justicia
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Union de Santa Fe

(Home)
03 Oct
Boca Juniors
3 : 0
Union de Santa Fe
19 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
1 : 2
Independiente
12 Sept
Talleres Cordoba
2 : 1
Union de Santa Fe
08 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
3 : 2
Instituto
28 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
4 : 1
Sarmiento Junin
Page 1 of 6

Defensa y Justicia

(Away)
03 Oct
Defensa y Justicia
3 : 0
San Lorenzo
18 Sept
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
2 : 2
Defensa y Justicia
11 Sept
Defensa y Justicia
2 : 0
Gimnasia Mendoza
06 Sept
Lanus
1 : 0
Defensa y Justicia
31 Aug
Defensa y Justicia
1 : 0
Platense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 12 8 2 2 19:10 26
2 Defensa y Justicia 12 7 3 2 18:11 24
3 Boca Juniors 12 5 6 1 19:13 21
4 Velez Sarsfield 11 5 6 0 17:11 21
5 Lanus 11 5 2 4 13:9 17
6 Newells Old Boys 11 4 5 2 11:8 17
7 Gimnasia Mendoza 11 5 2 4 14:12 17
8 Independiente 11 5 2 4 11:12 17
9 Estudiantes L.P. 11 4 1 6 13:11 13
10 Union de Santa Fe 12 4 1 7 17:21 13
11 Deportivo Riestra 11 2 5 4 9:11 11
12 San Lorenzo 11 3 2 6 4:11 11
13 Platense 11 2 4 5 11:17 10
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 11 2 3 6 8:14 9
15 Talleres Cordoba 11 2 2 7 11:18 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 11 6 3 2 15:10 21
2 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 11 5 4 2 12:7 19
3 Sarmiento Junin 11 6 1 4 20:17 19
4 Rosario Central 11 5 4 2 12:9 19
5 Huracan 11 5 4 2 11:8 19
6 Gimnasia L.P. 12 5 4 3 17:17 19
7 Ind. Rivadavia 11 5 3 3 15:14 18
8 Barracas Central 11 4 3 4 8:9 15
9 Atl. Tucuman 12 3 5 4 10:10 14
10 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
11 Tigre 11 3 3 5 10:11 12
12 Racing Club 11 3 2 6 13:17 11
13 Banfield 11 2 4 5 12:17 10
14 Aldosivi 12 2 2 8 13:20 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 11 1 3 7 6:15 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)