Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union de Santa Fe vs Instituto

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe
Union de Santa Fe Logo

Union de Santa Fe

3 - 2
FT
Instituto Logo

Instituto

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Mosevich L.
Assist: Luna A.
25' Event
Cuello B.
Assist: Pintado J.
28'
Giaccone E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Profesional game between Union de Santa Fe and Instituto finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union de Santa Fe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Union de Santa Fe
15%
Draws
42%
Instituto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union de Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Instituto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Union de Santa Fe a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Union de Santa Fe Clean Sheet 68%
Instituto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union de Santa Fe Instituto
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs Instituto
3:2
Mar 1, 2026 Liga Profesional
Instituto vs Union de Santa Fe
1:2
Aug 15, 2025 Liga Profesional
Instituto vs Union de Santa Fe
0:4
Feb 14, 2025 Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs Instituto
0:0
May 18, 2024 Liga Profesional
Instituto vs Union de Santa Fe
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union de Santa Fe Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuello B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tarragona C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Instituto Compare

Top Goalscorer Mosevich L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De La Fuente H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union de Santa Fe 77 / 100
Instituto 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union de Santa Fe Instituto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union de Santa Fe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Union de Santa Fe scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Instituto let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Union de Santa Fe stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union de Santa Fe VS Instituto
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Union de Santa Fe

(Home)
19 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
1 : 2
Independiente
12 Sept
Talleres Cordoba
2 : 1
Union de Santa Fe
08 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
3 : 2
Instituto
28 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
4 : 1
Sarmiento Junin
21 Aug
Aldosivi
1 : 3
Union de Santa Fe
Page 1 of 6

Instituto

(Away)
20 Sept
Instituto
3 : 1
Talleres Cordoba
15 Sept
Instituto
2 : 1
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
08 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
3 : 2
Instituto
01 Sept
Instituto
1 : 0
San Lorenzo
28 Aug
Platense
2 : 1
Instituto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 10 7 1 2 13:7 22
2 Velez Sarsfield 10 5 5 0 15:9 20
3 Defensa y Justicia 10 5 3 2 13:11 18
4 Gimnasia Mendoza 10 5 2 3 14:9 17
5 Boca Juniors 10 4 5 1 14:11 17
6 Independiente 10 5 2 3 10:8 17
7 Lanus 10 5 1 4 13:9 16
8 Newells Old Boys 10 4 4 2 11:8 16
9 Union de Santa Fe 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
10 San Lorenzo 10 3 2 5 4:8 11
11 Estudiantes L.P. 10 3 1 6 10:11 10
12 Deportivo Riestra 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
13 Platense 10 2 3 5 9:15 9
14 Talleres Cordoba 10 2 2 6 11:17 8
15 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 10 2 2 6 7:13 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 10 5 3 2 13:9 18
2 Rosario Central 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
3 Ind. Rivadavia 10 5 2 3 14:13 17
4 Gimnasia L.P. 10 5 2 3 15:15 17
5 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 10 4 4 2 11:7 16
6 Huracan 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
7 Sarmiento Junin 10 5 1 4 17:16 16
8 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
9 Atl. Tucuman 10 3 4 3 7:6 13
10 Tigre 10 3 3 4 9:9 12
11 Barracas Central 10 3 3 4 5:7 12
12 Banfield 10 2 3 5 11:16 9
13 Aldosivi 10 2 2 6 12:16 8
14 Racing Club 10 2 2 6 11:16 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 10 1 3 6 5:13 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)