Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2012/2013

Torremolinos

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Union Estepona CF play Torremolinos in the Tercera Division - Group 9 2012/2013. Torremolinos are favorites here. Recently, Union Estepona CF averaged 0.54 goals scored and 1.91 conceded. Torremolinos averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. In past meetings, Union Estepona CF won 1, Torremolinos won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 17, 2013 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Union Estepona CF and 1.49 for Torremolinos. This points to a Torremolinos double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%

Union Estepona CF

17%

Draws

58%

Torremolinos

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Torremolinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Union Estepona CF picked up more points recently compared to Torremolinos.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.49 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 36%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Union Estepona CF Clean Sheet 16%

Torremolinos Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Union Estepona CF	Torremolinos
Matches Played	35	35
Wins	5	13
Draws	2	10
Losses	28	12
Goals Scored	0.54	1.31
Goals Conceded	1.91	1.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Union Estepona CF vs Torremolinos

Possession: 45% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

4:2

Oct 28, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Torremolinos vs Union Estepona CF

Possession: 52% - 46% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Estepona CF 26 / 100

Torremolinos 55 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Union Estepona CF Torremolinos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torremolinos Win (2)

Secondary Pick Torremolinos & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +47%

5.88

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +19.9%

3.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Union Estepona CF attacking → ← attacking Torremolinos

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Estepona CF scored in 26% of their last 35 games.

Torremolinos let in goals in 74% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Union Estepona CF went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Torremolinos lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 49

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	El Palo	38	20	14	4	72:36	74
2	Mancha	38	20	12	6	50:27	72
3	Granada CF B	38	21	9	8	73:35	72
4	Malaga B	38	20	11	7	71:27	71
5	Linares	38	20	10	8	52:30	70
6	Villacarrillo	38	18	11	9	66:41	65
7	Martos	38	18	10	10	52:45	64
8	Velez	38	14	14	10	51:47	56
9	Atarfe Industrial	38	14	11	13	58:48	53
10	Maracena	38	13	12	13	47:49	51
11	Marbella	38	11	16	11	52:53	49
12	Melilla B	38	13	9	16	43:44	48
13	UD San Pedro	38	12	11	15	50:45	47
14	CD Ronda	38	12	9	17	53:56	45
15	Union Estepona CF	38	12	9	17	45:55	45
16	Huetor Tajar	38	10	11	17	44:67	41
17	AD Huercal	38	6	13	19	33:73	31
18	Torremolinos	38	6	12	20	32:67	30
19	Alhaurin	38	5	8	25	30:80	23
20	Comarca	38	5	8	25	26:75	23