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Union FC Macomb vs Ann Arbor

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Union FC Macomb play Ann Arbor in the USL League Two. It looks like a close match. Recently, Union FC Macomb averaged 1.64 goals scored and 2.18 conceded. Ann Arbor averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. In past meetings, Union FC Macomb won 1, Ann Arbor won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 7, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Union FC Macomb and 2.06 for Ann Arbor. This points to a Ann Arbor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Union FC Macomb
21%
Draws
48%
Ann Arbor
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Ann Arbor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Union FC Macomb picked up more points recently compared to Ann Arbor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 2.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Union FC Macomb Clean Sheet 10%
Ann Arbor Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union FC Macomb Ann Arbor
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 4 3
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.64 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.18 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2026 USL League Two
Union FC Macomb vs Ann Arbor
2:2
May 29, 2026 USL League Two
Ann Arbor vs Union FC Macomb
2:1
Jul 8, 2025 USL League Two
Ann Arbor vs Union FC Macomb
2:4
May 23, 2025 USL League Two
Union FC Macomb vs Ann Arbor
1:1
Jun 18, 2024 USL League Two
Union FC Macomb vs Ann Arbor
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union FC Macomb 30 / 100
Ann Arbor 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union FC Macomb Ann Arbor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ann Arbor or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.37
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Union FC Macomb attacking → ← attacking Ann Arbor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union FC Macomb scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Ann Arbor let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Union FC Macomb went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ann Arbor lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 51
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50