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Union Feltre vs Montebelluna

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Fantinato S.
45' Event
Paladin A.
53' Event
Cattelan A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2020/2021 game between Union Feltre and Montebelluna finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montebelluna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Union Feltre
30%
Draws
19%
Montebelluna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Union Feltre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Montebelluna come out ahead of Union Feltre on wins alone.
  • Model gives Union Feltre a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Union Feltre Clean Sheet 68%
Montebelluna Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Feltre Montebelluna
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 9 18
Draws 6 13
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Union Feltre vs Montebelluna
1:3
Dec 20, 2020 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Union Feltre
2:1
Mar 11, 2020 Serie D - Group C
Union Feltre vs Montebelluna
0:0
Oct 20, 2019 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Union Feltre
1:1
Sep 25, 2019 Coppa Italia Serie D
Montebelluna vs Union Feltre
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Feltre Compare

Top Goalscorer Fantinato S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Montebelluna Compare

Top Goalscorer Cattelan A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Paladin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Feltre 86 / 100
Montebelluna 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Feltre Montebelluna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Feltre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Union Feltre stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Union Feltre's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Montebelluna let in goals in 61% of their last 41 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Montebelluna
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Feltre

(Home)
13 Jun
Campodarsego
1 : 1
Union Feltre
06 Jun
Union Feltre
1 : 1
Chions
30 May
Virtus Bolzano
0 : 1
Union Feltre
23 May
Union Feltre
2 : 0
Cartigliano
19 May
Caldiero Terme
0 : 1
Union Feltre
Page 1 of 6

Montebelluna

(Away)
05 May
Clodiense
2 : 0
Montebelluna
28 Apr
Montebelluna
3 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
21 Apr
Breno
3 : 2
Montebelluna
14 Apr
Montebelluna
0 : 0
Montecchio Maggiore
07 Apr
Treviso
2 : 0
Montebelluna
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trento 38 23 12 3 65:35 81
2 Arzignano 38 19 10 9 52:34 67
3 Manzanese 38 19 9 10 64:44 66
4 Clodiense 38 17 11 10 51:41 62
5 Caldiero Terme 38 15 16 7 56:36 61
6 Mestre 38 18 6 14 58:49 60
7 Delta Porto Tolle 38 17 7 14 51:38 58
8 Luparense FC 38 15 9 14 52:48 54
9 AC Belluno 38 12 17 9 43:45 53
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 13 13 12 60:60 52
11 Cartigliano 38 13 13 12 42:45 52
12 San Giorgio-Sedico 38 13 10 15 48:48 49
13 Adriese 38 13 10 15 55:64 49
14 Ambrosiana 38 11 14 13 57:64 47
15 Este 38 9 16 13 45:53 43
16 Campodarsego 38 10 10 18 41:48 40
17 Union Feltre 38 10 9 19 41:59 39
18 Virtus Bolzano 38 10 8 20 46:52 38
19 Montebelluna 38 10 8 20 41:67 38
20 Chions 38 3 12 23 30:68 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2020/2021 (Play Offs)