Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union La Calera vs Coquimbo Prediction & H2H Stats

Chile Chile

Copa de la Liga Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán, La Calera
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Salinas F.
29' Event
Riveros L.
Assist: Johansen N.
65'
Sub
Rodriguez P. In: Vadala G.
Out: Rodriguez P.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Union La Calera
15%
Draws
39%
Coquimbo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union La Calera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Union La Calera haven't matched Coquimbo's recent run of results.
  • Union La Calera are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Coquimbo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Coquimbo, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Coquimbo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Union La Calera Clean Sheet 68%
Coquimbo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union La Calera Coquimbo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 14
Draws 9 10
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Coquimbo vs Union La Calera
1:1
Jul 8, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Union La Calera vs Coquimbo
0:1
Apr 24, 2026 Liga de Primera
Union La Calera vs Coquimbo
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Liga de Primera
Coquimbo vs Union La Calera
2:0
Jul 2, 2025 Copa Chile
Union La Calera vs Coquimbo
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union La Calera Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Coquimbo Compare

Top Goalscorer Riveros L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union La Calera 50 / 100
Coquimbo 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union La Calera Coquimbo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union La Calera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union La Calera's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Coquimbo conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Union La Calera went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union La Calera VS Coquimbo
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Union La Calera

(Home)
26 Sept
U. Catolica
0 : 1
Union La Calera
23 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 1
U. Catolica
14 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 0
Limache
06 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1
Union La Calera
31 Aug
Union La Calera
0 : 1
La Serena
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Coquimbo

(Away)
22 Sept
Cobreloa
1 : 2
Coquimbo
16 Sept
Coquimbo
0 : 1
Huachipato
12 Sept
Cobresal
3 : 2
Coquimbo
06 Sept
U. De Chile
4 : 2
Coquimbo
02 Sept
Coquimbo
1 : 0
U. De Concepcion
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Coquimbo 2
Union La Calera 1
O Higgins 3
Nublense 2
Final
Coquimbo -
O Higgins -