Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union La Calera vs Coquimbo

Chile Chile

Copa de la Liga Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Union La Calera play Coquimbo in the Copa de la Liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Union La Calera averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Coquimbo averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Union La Calera won 0, Coquimbo won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 24, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Union La Calera and 1.25 for Coquimbo. This points to a Coquimbo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Union La Calera
18%
Draws
53%
Coquimbo
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Coquimbo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Union La Calera picked up more points recently compared to Coquimbo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Union La Calera Clean Sheet 19%
Coquimbo Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union La Calera Coquimbo
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.11 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.43 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Liga de Primera
Union La Calera vs Coquimbo
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Liga de Primera
Coquimbo vs Union La Calera
2:0
Jul 2, 2025 Copa Chile
Union La Calera vs Coquimbo
1:4
Jun 8, 2025 Copa Chile
Coquimbo vs Union La Calera
2:1
May 17, 2025 Liga de Primera
Union La Calera vs Coquimbo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union La Calera Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Coquimbo Compare

Top Goalscorer Riveros L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union La Calera 30 / 100
Coquimbo 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union La Calera Coquimbo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coquimbo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Coquimbo & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Union La Calera attacking → ← attacking Coquimbo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union La Calera scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Coquimbo let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Union La Calera went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Coquimbo lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 54
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75