Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union La Calera vs Coquimbo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán, La Calera
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-4. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Coquimbo have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while Union La Calera have conceded 1.24 and scored 1.14. Head-to-head, Union La Calera have won 0 to Coquimbo's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 12, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 0.88, favoring Coquimbo. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Union La Calera
15%
Draws
39%
Coquimbo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union La Calera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Union La Calera haven't matched Coquimbo's recent run of results.
  • Union La Calera are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Coquimbo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Coquimbo, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Coquimbo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Union La Calera Clean Sheet 20%
Coquimbo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union La Calera Coquimbo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.14 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Coquimbo vs Union La Calera
1:1
Jul 8, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Union La Calera vs Coquimbo
0:1
Apr 24, 2026 Liga de Primera
Union La Calera vs Coquimbo
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Liga de Primera
Coquimbo vs Union La Calera
2:0
Jul 2, 2025 Copa Chile
Union La Calera vs Coquimbo
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union La Calera 42 / 100
Coquimbo 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union La Calera Coquimbo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union La Calera scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Coquimbo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Union La Calera remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Union La Calera VS Coquimbo
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Union La Calera

(Home)
26 Sept
U. Catolica
0 : 1
Union La Calera
23 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 1
U. Catolica
14 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 0
Limache
06 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1
Union La Calera
31 Aug
Union La Calera
0 : 1
La Serena
Page 1 of 6

Coquimbo

(Away)
07 Oct
Coquimbo
2 : 1
Cobreloa
22 Sept
Cobreloa
1 : 2
Coquimbo
16 Sept
Coquimbo
0 : 1
Huachipato
12 Sept
Cobresal
3 : 2
Coquimbo
06 Sept
U. De Chile
4 : 2
Coquimbo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Colo Colo 1
A. Italiano 0
Nublense 2
D. Puerto Montt 3
Deportes Santa Cruz 2
O Higgins 5
D. Concepcion 6
Curico Unido 0
U. De Chile 2
Everton 1
Antofagasta 5
Deportes Iquique 2
U. Catolica 1
Union La Calera 2
Coquimbo 4
Cobreloa 2
Quarter-finals
Colo Colo 2
D. Puerto Montt 0
O Higgins 3
D. Concepcion 0
U. De Chile 0
Antofagasta 2
Union La Calera -
Coquimbo -
Semi-finals
TBD -
O Higgins -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -