Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union La Calera vs Everton

Chile Chile

Liga de Primera Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán, La Calera
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Montiel N.
35'
Magallanes H.
45'
Salomoni J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga de Primera matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Union La Calera
30%
Draws
47%
Everton
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Everton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Everton lately — more wins on the board than Union La Calera.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Union La Calera Clean Sheet 18%
Everton Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union La Calera Everton
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Liga de Primera
Union La Calera vs Everton
1:1
Feb 2, 2026 Liga de Primera
Everton vs Union La Calera
3:0
Sep 12, 2025 Liga de Primera
Union La Calera vs Everton
1:0
Apr 20, 2025 Liga de Primera
Everton vs Union La Calera
1:1
Apr 4, 2025 Copa Chile
Everton vs Union La Calera
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union La Calera Compare

Top Goalscorer Pozzo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Everton Compare

Top Goalscorer Montiel N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union La Calera 32 / 100
Everton 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union La Calera Everton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Everton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Union La Calera scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Everton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Union La Calera has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Union La Calera VS Everton
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Union La Calera

(Home)
22 Aug
A. Italiano
0 : 0
Union La Calera
16 Aug
Nublense
2 : 1
Union La Calera
09 Aug
Union La Calera
1 : 2
Colo Colo
05 Aug
S. Wanderers
0 : 4
Union La Calera
01 Aug
Cobresal
4 : 0
Union La Calera
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Everton

(Away)
16 Aug
Everton
1 : 1
A. Italiano
08 Aug
Huachipato
1 : 4
Everton
01 Aug
Everton
3 : 4
Colo Colo
27 Jul
Union La Calera
1 : 1
Everton
11 Jul
Copiapo
0 : 1
Everton
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 20 16 1 3 42:20 49
2 U. De Chile 20 10 6 4 27:15 36
3 Nublense 19 8 8 3 26:23 32
4 U. Catolica 19 9 3 7 41:28 30
5 Palestino 19 9 3 7 31:27 30
6 Limache 19 8 3 8 38:31 27
7 Everton 19 7 6 6 28:22 27
8 D. Concepcion 20 8 3 9 23:24 27
9 Coquimbo 18 7 5 6 25:22 26
10 La Serena 20 5 9 6 31:34 24
11 O Higgins 19 7 3 9 24:30 24
12 Huachipato 20 7 3 10 29:39 24
13 A. Italiano 20 5 7 8 23:26 22
14 U. De Concepcion 18 5 4 9 13:30 19
15 Cobresal 20 5 3 12 29:39 18
16 Union La Calera 20 3 5 12 17:37 14
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)