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Union La Calera vs Limache Prediction & H2H Stats

Chile Chile

Liga de Primera Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán, La Calera
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Ferreyra B.
Assist: Mendez K.
19'
Galletto T.
29'
Diaz C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Primera game between Union La Calera and Limache finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union La Calera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Union La Calera
15%
Draws
48%
Limache
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Limache

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Union La Calera have managed 1.17 goals a game lately — Limache are scoring more at 1.67.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga de Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Union La Calera Clean Sheet 15%
Limache Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union La Calera Limache
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Liga de Primera
Union La Calera vs Limache
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 Liga de Primera
Limache vs Union La Calera
4:0
Nov 30, 2025 Liga de Primera
Union La Calera vs Limache
0:1
Jun 14, 2025 Liga de Primera
Limache vs Union La Calera
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union La Calera Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreyra B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Limache Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union La Calera 35 / 100
Limache 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union La Calera Limache

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Limache Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Limache let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Union La Calera's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Union La Calera remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Union La Calera VS Limache
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Union La Calera

(Home)
26 Sept
U. Catolica
0 : 1
Union La Calera
23 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 1
U. Catolica
14 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 0
Limache
06 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1
Union La Calera
31 Aug
Union La Calera
0 : 1
La Serena
Page 1 of 6

Limache

(Away)
14 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 0
Limache
07 Sept
Limache
3 : 0
Cobresal
03 Sept
Limache
2 : 0
Nublense
29 Aug
Limache
0 : 3
Everton
22 Aug
Huachipato
1 : 3
Limache
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 23 17 3 3 48:22 54
2 U. Catolica 23 13 3 7 50:33 42
3 U. De Chile 23 12 6 5 35:19 42
4 Everton 23 10 6 7 37:25 36
5 Palestino 23 11 3 9 36:33 36
6 Limache 23 10 3 10 43:35 33
7 Nublense 23 8 8 7 28:31 32
8 D. Concepcion 23 9 4 10 25:26 31
9 La Serena 23 7 9 7 34:38 30
10 Coquimbo 23 8 5 10 31:32 29
11 A. Italiano 23 7 7 9 26:31 28
12 Huachipato 22 8 4 10 30:39 28
13 O Higgins 23 8 3 12 28:36 27
14 Cobresal 23 7 3 13 34:44 24
15 U. De Concepcion 22 6 4 12 17:37 22
16 Union La Calera 23 4 5 14 19:40 17
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)