Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Magdalena vs Barranquilla

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Sierra Nevada, Santa Marta
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Iguaran C.
20'
Agamez M.
31'
Penaloza J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Union Magdalena and Barranquilla finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Magdalena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Union Magdalena
15%
Draws
42%
Barranquilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union Magdalena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Union Magdalena carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Union Magdalena a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Union Magdalena Clean Sheet 20%
Barranquilla Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Magdalena Barranquilla
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.44 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Barranquilla
1:2
May 17, 2026 Primera B
Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena
1:1
May 4, 2026 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Barranquilla
2:0
Mar 4, 2026 Primera B
Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena
1:3
Aug 12, 2024 Primera B
Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Magdalena Compare

Top Goalscorer Iguaran C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carreno A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Barranquilla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Magdalena 49 / 100
Barranquilla 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Magdalena Barranquilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Magdalena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Magdalena's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Barranquilla conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Barranquilla's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Union Magdalena VS Barranquilla
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Magdalena

(Home)
18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2
Union Magdalena
12 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
2 : 1
Union Magdalena
05 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 2
Barranquilla
01 Sept
Envigado
0 : 1
Union Magdalena
29 Aug
Union Magdalena
0 : 2
Quindio
Page 1 of 6

Barranquilla

(Away)
21 Sept
Bogota
2 : 1
Barranquilla
15 Sept
Barranquilla
0 : 2
Independiente Valle del Cauca
10 Sept
Patriotas
3 : 1
Barranquilla
05 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 2
Barranquilla
01 Sept
Barranquilla
2 : 1
Boca Juniors de Cali
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Envigado 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
2 Quindio 6 3 1 2 4:3 10
3 Inter Palmira 6 1 4 1 3:3 7
4 Tigres Futbol Club 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cartagena 6 4 1 1 8:6 13
2 Union Magdalena 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
3 Barranquilla 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
4 Bogota 6 0 3 3 3:8 3
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs)