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Union Magdalena vs Boca Juniors de Cali - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Sierra Nevada, Santa Marta
Sun, Nov 15, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Union Magdalena host Boca Juniors de Cali in the Primera B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Union Magdalena at 1.14 goals for, 0.93 against; Boca Juniors de Cali at 1.48 for, 1.41 against. Past meetings favor Union Magdalena slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 29, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.13, favoring Union Magdalena. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Union Magdalena
35%
Draws
34%
Boca Juniors de Cali
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Union Magdalena haven't matched Boca Juniors de Cali's recent run of results.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Union Magdalena Clean Sheet 20%
Boca Juniors de Cali Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Magdalena Boca Juniors de Cali
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 10
Draws 12 9
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.14 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2026 Primera B
Boca Juniors de Cali vs Union Magdalena
1:1
Oct 7, 2026 Primera B
Boca Juniors de Cali vs Union Magdalena
1:1
Feb 9, 2026 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Boca Juniors de Cali
0:2
Oct 22, 2024 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Boca Juniors de Cali
1:0
May 12, 2024 Primera B
Boca Juniors de Cali vs Union Magdalena
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Magdalena 36 / 100
Boca Juniors de Cali 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Magdalena Boca Juniors de Cali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boca Juniors de Cali Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Magdalena went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Union Magdalena scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Boca Juniors de Cali conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Union Magdalena VS Boca Juniors de Cali
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Magdalena

(Home)
06 Nov
Union Magdalena
1 : 1
Independiente Valle del Cauca
02 Nov
Union Magdalena
1 : 1
Envigado
29 Oct
Boca Juniors de Cali
1 : 1
Union Magdalena
24 Oct
Union Magdalena
1 : 0
Atletico F.C.
19 Oct
Inter Palmira
0 : 1
Union Magdalena
Page 1 of 6

Boca Juniors de Cali

(Away)
06 Nov
Boca Juniors de Cali
1 : 0
Envigado
02 Nov
Independiente Valle del Cauca
2 : 4
Boca Juniors de Cali
29 Oct
Boca Juniors de Cali
1 : 1
Union Magdalena
24 Oct
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 1
Inter Palmira
20 Oct
Independiente Valle del Cauca
3 : 0
Boca Juniors de Cali
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Envigado 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Union Magdalena 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Boca Juniors de Cali 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Independiente Valle del Cauca 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boca Juniors de Cali 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Envigado 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Union Magdalena 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
4 Independiente Valle del Cauca 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quindio 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Tigres Futbol Club 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
3 Cartagena 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
4 Real Cundinamarca 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Play Offs)