Sport Picks
Union Magdalena vs Cartagena
Colombia
Primera B Estadio Sierra Nevada, Santa Marta 
AI Match Summary
Union Magdalena host Cartagena in the Primera B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Union Magdalena at 1.38 goals for, 1.03 against; Cartagena at 1.49 for, 1.09 against. Head-to-head, Union Magdalena have won 1 to Cartagena's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 12, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.63) point toward Cartagena. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Cartagena come out ahead of Union Magdalena on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Magdalena | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 35 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.49 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Union Magdalena scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Cartagena conceded in 69% of 35 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: Union Magdalena remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Union Magdalena
(Home)Cartagena
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tigres Futbol Club | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:3 | 17 |
| 2 | Real Cundinamarca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 17 |
| 3 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:3 | 17 |
| 4 | Patriotas | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 17 |
| 5 | Cartagena | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:10 | 14 |
| 6 | Atletico F.C. | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 14 |
| 7 | Boca Juniors de Cali | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Real Santander | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:14 | 11 |
| 9 | Bogota | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | 11 |
| 10 | Inter Palmira | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | 11 |
| 11 | Quindio | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 12 | Orsomarso | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4:6 | 9 |
| 13 | Leones | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:15 | 9 |
| 14 | Barranquilla | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 15 | Envigado | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 16 | Union Magdalena | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:9 | 7 |
