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Stadium Background

Union Magdalena vs Envigado - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Sierra Nevada, Santa Marta
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Valencia Mosquera D. A.
54'
Sagrera W.
59'
Sub
Mercado J. In: Arrieta G.
Out: Mercado J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Union Magdalena and Envigado finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Union Magdalena
35%
Draws
36%
Envigado
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Envigado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Envigado come out ahead of Union Magdalena on wins alone.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Union Magdalena Clean Sheet 19%
Envigado Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Magdalena Envigado
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 12
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.21 1.19
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2026 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Envigado
1:1
Sep 1, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Union Magdalena
0:1
Apr 9, 2026 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Envigado
4:2
Oct 17, 2025 Primera A
Union Magdalena vs Envigado
3:1
Apr 26, 2025 Primera A
Envigado vs Union Magdalena
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Magdalena Compare

Top Goalscorer Delvalle R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Envigado Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Magdalena 36 / 100
Envigado 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Magdalena Envigado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Envigado Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Union Magdalena remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Union Magdalena's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Envigado has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Union Magdalena VS Envigado
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Magdalena

(Home)
02 Nov
Union Magdalena
1 : 1
Envigado
29 Oct
Boca Juniors de Cali
1 : 1
Union Magdalena
24 Oct
Union Magdalena
1 : 0
Atletico F.C.
19 Oct
Inter Palmira
0 : 1
Union Magdalena
15 Oct
Union Magdalena
1 : 1
Independiente Valle del Cauca
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Envigado

(Away)
02 Nov
Union Magdalena
1 : 1
Envigado
29 Oct
Envigado
2 : 0
Independiente Valle del Cauca
24 Oct
Patriotas
0 : 2
Envigado
18 Oct
Envigado
1 : 0
Barranquilla
15 Oct
Envigado
1 : 1
Real Santander
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