Sport Picks
Union Magdalena vs Inter Palmira
Colombia
Primera B Estadio Sierra Nevada, Santa Marta 
Match Events
29'
29'
Cardona J.
38'
38'
Orozco D.
45'
45'
Cardona J.
AI Match Summary
The Primera B game between Union Magdalena and Inter Palmira finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inter Palmira.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union Magdalena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Inter Palmira haven't matched Union Magdalena's recent run of results.
- Union Magdalena are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Union Magdalena Clean Sheet 68%
Inter Palmira Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Magdalena | Inter Palmira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2026 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Inter Palmira
0:2
Sep 21, 2024 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Inter Palmira
1:0
Apr 19, 2024 Primera B
Inter Palmira vs Union Magdalena
0:2
Sep 10, 2022 Primera A
Inter Palmira vs Union Magdalena
1:2
Mar 18, 2022 Primera A
Union Magdalena vs Inter Palmira
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Union Magdalena Compare
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Inter Palmira Compare
Top Goalscorer Cardona J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Orozco D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union Magdalena 50 / 100
Inter Palmira 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union Magdalena Inter Palmira
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union Magdalena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Union Magdalena scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Inter Palmira has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Difficult form: Inter Palmira registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Union Magdalena VS Inter Palmira
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Union Magdalena
(Home) 18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2 Union Magdalena
12 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
2 : 1 Union Magdalena
05 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 2 Barranquilla
01 Sept
Envigado
0 : 1 Union Magdalena
29 Aug
Union Magdalena
0 : 2 Quindio
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 2 Barranquilla
29 Aug
Union Magdalena
0 : 2 Quindio
31 Jul
Union Magdalena
0 : 0 Orsomarso
21 May
Union Magdalena
0 : 0 Bogota
12 May
Union Magdalena
3 : 0 Cartagena
Page 1 of 3
Inter Palmira
(Away) 12 Sept
Inter Palmira
2 : 1 Cartagena
09 Sept
Inter Palmira
0 : 1 Atletico F.C.
03 Sept
Inter Palmira
0 : 2 Real Cundinamarca
29 Aug
Real Santander
3 : 1 Inter Palmira
25 Aug
Inter Palmira
1 : 0 Barranquilla
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Real Santander
3 : 1 Inter Palmira
08 Aug
Quindio
1 : 1 Inter Palmira
26 Jul
Patriotas
3 : 1 Inter Palmira
21 Jul
Inter Bogotá
1 : 0 Inter Palmira
15 May
Quindio
0 : 1 Inter Palmira
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Palmira | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 29:13 | 38 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27:15 | 32 |
| 3 | Quindio | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 20:10 | 31 |
| 4 | Envigado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:14 | 29 |
| 5 | Cartagena | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23:15 | 26 |
| 6 | Bogota | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 23 |
| 7 | Barranquilla | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:20 | 20 |
| 8 | Tigres Futbol Club | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15:14 | 20 |
| 9 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 13:14 | 19 |
| 10 | Orsomarso | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 12 | Boca Juniors de Cali | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 15:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Real Cundinamarca | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14:19 | 13 |
| 14 | Leones | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | 10 |
| 15 | Atletico F.C. | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 12:23 | 9 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9:23 | 7 |
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)
