Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Magdalena vs Patriotas

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Sierra Nevada
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Union Magdalena play Patriotas in the Primera B. It looks like a close match. Recently, Union Magdalena averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1 conceded. Patriotas averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Union Magdalena won 2, Patriotas won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 16, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Union Magdalena and 0.94 for Patriotas. This points to a Union Magdalena double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Union Magdalena
6%
Draws
4%
Patriotas
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Union Magdalena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Union Magdalena has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Patriotas.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Union Magdalena.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Primera B provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Union Magdalena Clean Sheet 68%
Patriotas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Magdalena Patriotas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2026 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Patriotas
2:1
Oct 4, 2022 Primera A
Patriotas vs Union Magdalena
3:1
Apr 9, 2022 Primera A
Union Magdalena vs Patriotas
0:1
Oct 3, 2019 Primera A
Patriotas vs Union Magdalena
1:1
Apr 6, 2019 Primera A
Union Magdalena vs Patriotas
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Magdalena Compare

Top Goalscorer Congo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carreno A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Patriotas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Magdalena 95 / 100
Patriotas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Magdalena Patriotas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Magdalena scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Patriotas let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Union Magdalena went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Patriotas lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union Magdalena VS Patriotas
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter Palmira15122129:1338
2Union Magdalena15102327:1532
3Quindio1594220:1031
4Envigado1592424:1429
5Cartagena1575323:1526
6Bogota1565416:1423
7Barranquilla1562721:2020
8Tigres Futbol Club1555515:1420
9Ind. Yumbo1547413:1419
10Orsomarso1545613:1717
11Patriotas1545613:1717
12Boca Juniors de Cali1527615:2013
13Real Cundinamarca1527614:1913
14Leones152498:2410
15Atletico F.C.1516812:239
16Real Santander1514109:237