Sport Picks
Union Magdalena vs Santa Fe
Colombia
Copa Colombia Estadio Sierra Nevada, Santa Marta 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 2-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Union Magdalena have averaged 1.36 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Santa Fe's 1.65 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Santa Fe slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 6, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 0.56 vs 1.13, favoring Santa Fe. AI goal market prediction: Under 2.5, BTTS: NG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Santa Fe lately — more wins on the board than Union Magdalena.
- Model gives Santa Fe a 50% chance of winning this.
- Santa Fe arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Santa Fe, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Magdalena | Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.36 | 1.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Union Magdalena's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Santa Fe let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Union Magdalena stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
