Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Magdalena W vs Envigado W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Aguila Women 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga Aguila Women 2018 game between Union Magdalena W and Envigado W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Magdalena W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Union Magdalena W
15%
Draws
46%
Envigado W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Envigado W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Envigado W come out ahead of Union Magdalena W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Envigado W a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Aguila Women 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Union Magdalena W Clean Sheet 19%
Envigado W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Magdalena W Envigado W
Matches Played 20 20
Wins 10 14
Draws 2 2
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.3 2.4
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2018 Liga Women
Union Magdalena W vs Envigado W
1:0
Feb 10, 2018 Liga Women
Envigado W vs Union Magdalena W
0:1
Apr 22, 2017 Liga Women
Union Magdalena W vs Envigado W
0:2
Mar 11, 2017 Liga Women
Envigado W vs Union Magdalena W
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Magdalena W 20 / 100
Envigado W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Magdalena W Envigado W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Envigado W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Magdalena W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (20 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Envigado W let in goals in 45% of their last 20 matches.

Union Magdalena W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Union Magdalena W VS Envigado W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Magdalena W

(Home)
13 May
Huila W
2 : 0
Union Magdalena W
10 May
Union Magdalena W
0 : 4
Huila W
06 May
Union Magdalena W
1 : 0
Junior W
25 Apr
Atl. Nacional W
3 : 1
Union Magdalena W
21 Mar
Union Magdalena W
4 : 0
Cartagena W
Page 1 of 4

Envigado W

(Away)
06 May
Atl. Nacional W
2 : 1
Envigado W
03 May
Junior W
0 : 0
Envigado W
29 Apr
Cartagena W
0 : 2
Envigado W
18 Mar
Union Magdalena W
1 : 0
Envigado W
14 Mar
Envigado W
5 : 1
Cartagena W
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huila W 10 8 1 1 22:3 25
2 Deportes Tolima W 10 4 4 2 13:11 16
3 Alianza W 10 4 3 3 10:10 15
4 Cucuta W 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
5 Bucaramanga W 10 2 1 7 7:14 7
6 Real San Andres W 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indep. Santa Fe W 10 8 1 1 37:6 25
2 Patriotas W 10 6 2 2 22:8 20
3 Fortaleza W 10 4 4 2 14:13 16
4 Inter Bogotá W 10 4 3 3 11:10 15
5 Bogota W 10 1 3 6 6:29 6
6 Dep. Pasto W 10 0 1 9 2:26 1
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America de Cali W 10 7 1 2 26:12 22
2 Inter Palmira W 10 6 2 2 20:8 20
3 Deportivo Pereira W 10 6 1 3 15:12 19
4 Quindio W 10 3 3 4 21:20 12
5 Orsomarso W 10 3 2 5 14:17 11
6 Atletico F.C. W 10 0 1 9 7:34 1
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional W 8 6 1 1 16:3 19
2 Union Magdalena W 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
3 Envigado W 8 3 2 3 9:5 11
4 Junior W 8 3 2 3 9:7 11
5 Cartagena W 8 0 0 8 3:29 0
Promotion - Liga Aguila Women 2018 (Play Offs)