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Union Minas vs Ayacucho - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Huancayo, Huancayo
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Union Minas host Ayacucho in the Liga 2. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Ayacucho have shipped 1.43 goals a game lately, while Union Minas have conceded 0.89 and scored 1.59. Head-to-head, Union Minas have won 1 to Ayacucho's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 26, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (2.25 xG vs 1.56) point toward Union Minas. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Union Minas
15%
Draws
32%
Ayacucho
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union Minas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Union Minas have won more games recently than Ayacucho.
  • Win probability leans Union Minas's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Union Minas Clean Sheet 15%
Ayacucho Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Minas Ayacucho
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.59 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Liga 2
Ayacucho vs Union Minas
1:0
Aug 15, 2026 Liga 2
Union Minas vs Ayacucho
3:1
May 2, 2026 Liga 2
Ayacucho vs Union Minas
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Minas 75 / 100
Ayacucho 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Minas Ayacucho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Minas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Union Minas scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Ayacucho conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Union Minas has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Union Minas VS Ayacucho
2.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Minas

(Home)
06 Oct
Union Minas
4 : 1
Union Comercio
26 Sept
Ayacucho
1 : 0
Union Minas
12 Sept
Union Minas
2 : 0
Santos FC
06 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 1
Union Minas
30 Aug
Union Minas
2 : 1
Sport Huancayo 2
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Ayacucho

(Away)
06 Oct
Pirata
2 : 0
Ayacucho
26 Sept
Ayacucho
1 : 0
Union Minas
12 Sept
Ayacucho
0 : 2
Sport Huancayo 2
04 Sept
Comerciantes FC
5 : 1
Ayacucho
22 Aug
Ayacucho
7 : 1
Binacional
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 2 1 0 1 3:4 5
2 Union Minas 2 1 0 1 4:2 4
3 Pirata 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
4 Ayacucho 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llacuabamba 2 1 1 0 4:0 5
2 ADA Jaen 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
3 Sport Huancayo 2 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Comerciantes FC 2 0 0 2 0:5 2
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carlos Mannucci 2 1 1 0 7:0 6
2 Tacna Heroica 2 0 2 0 2:2 3
3 U. San Martin 2 1 0 1 2:8 3
4 Alianza Huanuco 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams