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Union Minas vs Santos FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Huancayo, Huancayo
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Match Events

20'
Velasco S.
56'
Sub
Velasco S. In: Ardiles R.
Out: Velasco S.
56'
Sub
Chavez D. In: Ramirez D.
Out: Chavez D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 game between Union Minas and Santos FC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Minas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Union Minas
20%
Draws
33%
Santos FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Union Minas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Santos FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Union Minas's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Union Minas Clean Sheet 68%
Santos FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Minas Santos FC
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 8 4
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.59 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Liga 2
Union Minas vs Santos FC
2:0
May 29, 2026 Liga 2
Santos FC vs Union Minas
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Minas Compare

Top Goalscorer Ardiles R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alania D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Santos FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Minas 95 / 100
Santos FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Minas Santos FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Minas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Minas's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Santos FC let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Union Minas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union Minas VS Santos FC
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Minas

(Home)
06 Oct
Union Minas
4 : 1
Union Comercio
26 Sept
Ayacucho
1 : 0
Union Minas
12 Sept
Union Minas
2 : 0
Santos FC
06 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 1
Union Minas
30 Aug
Union Minas
2 : 1
Sport Huancayo 2
Page 1 of 6

Santos FC

(Away)
07 Oct
AD Cantolao
0 : 3
Santos FC
12 Sept
Union Minas
2 : 0
Santos FC
05 Sept
Santos FC
4 : 1
Estudiantil CNI
30 Aug
Tacna Heroica
3 : 1
Santos FC
17 Aug
Santos FC
3 : 3
Alianza Huanuco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)