Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Plaani vs HPS

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A Urheilupuisto N, Heinola
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Afila V.
46'
Sub
Heiskanen L. In: Sopanen L.
Out: Heiskanen L.
56'
Oris J.

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group A game between Union Plaani and HPS finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HPS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Union Plaani
20%
Draws
15%
HPS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Union Plaani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Union Plaani haven't matched HPS's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Union Plaani a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Union Plaani Clean Sheet 10%
HPS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Plaani HPS
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 2 5
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.4 1.96
Goals Conceded 2.4 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
HPS vs Union Plaani
0:3
Jun 6, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
Union Plaani vs HPS
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Plaani Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

HPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Vaisanen O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Plaani 83 / 100
HPS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Plaani HPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Plaani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HPS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Union Plaani scored in 72% of their last 25 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Union Plaani remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Union Plaani VS HPS
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 3.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Plaani

(Home)
06 Sept
Union Plaani
4 : 2
PuiU Helsinki
22 Aug
Union Plaani
1 : 0
Lahden Reipas
15 Aug
HPS
0 : 3
Union Plaani
07 Aug
Kiffen
1 : 0
Union Plaani
31 Jul
Union Plaani
0 : 2
PEPO
Page 1 of 5

HPS

(Away)
03 Sept
HIFK
1 : 1
HPS
30 Aug
Kiffen
2 : 1
HPS
22 Aug
Kiffen
5 : 1
HPS
15 Aug
HPS
0 : 3
Union Plaani
07 Aug
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)
2 : 2
HPS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kiffen 18 12 3 3 41:24 39
2 PEPO 18 11 4 3 36:23 37
3 Atlantis 18 10 2 6 62:44 32
4 HIFK 18 7 6 5 39:33 27
5 HPS 18 7 4 7 39:41 25
6 Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 18 5 8 5 33:31 23
7 Lahden Reipas 18 7 2 9 35:35 23
8 PuiU Helsinki 18 4 4 10 26:38 16
9 MyPa 18 4 3 11 20:39 15
10 Union Plaani 18 4 2 12 19:42 14
Promotion - Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage)
Relegation - Kakkonen Group A (Losers stage)