Sport Picks
Union Rochefortoise vs Lierse SK Prediction & H2H Stats
Belgium
Belgian Cup 
Match Events
9'
9'
El Touile S.
30'
30'
Dwomoh P.
73'
73'
Cornet M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Union Rochefortoise
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Union Rochefortoise carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Union Rochefortoise taking it.
- Union Rochefortoise have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Union Rochefortoise, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Union Rochefortoise Clean Sheet 16%
Lierse SK Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Rochefortoise | Lierse SK |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 Belgian Cup
Union Rochefortoise vs Lierse SK
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Union Rochefortoise Compare
Top Goalscorer Cornet M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Libert J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Lierse SK Compare
Top Goalscorer El Touile S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dwomoh P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union Rochefortoise 84 / 100
Lierse SK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union Rochefortoise Lierse SK
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union Rochefortoise Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Union Rochefortoise scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Lierse SK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Union Rochefortoise has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Union Rochefortoise VS Lierse SK
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Union Rochefortoise
(Home) 30 Sept
RWDM Brussels
1 : 1 Union Rochefortoise
27 Sept
Union Rochefortoise
3 : 2 Lierse SK
19 Sept
Union Rochefortoise
1 : 1 Charleroi B
12 Sept
Union Rochefortoise
1 : 2 Onhaye
05 Sept
Tubize-Braine
1 : 4 Union Rochefortoise
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Union Rochefortoise
3 : 2 Lierse SK
19 Sept
Union Rochefortoise
1 : 1 Charleroi B
12 Sept
Union Rochefortoise
1 : 2 Onhaye
29 Aug
Union Rochefortoise
4 : 2 Habay La Neuve
01 Aug
Union Rochefortoise
2 : 2 Virton
Page 1 of 3
Lierse SK
(Away) 27 Sept
Union Rochefortoise
3 : 2 Lierse SK
11 Sept
Beerschot VA
3 : 1 Lierse SK
06 Sept
Lierse SK
0 : 0 RFC Liege
30 Aug
RFC Seraing
1 : 1 Lierse SK
22 Aug
Lierse SK
2 : 1 Patro Eisden
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Union Rochefortoise
3 : 2 Lierse SK
11 Sept
Beerschot VA
3 : 1 Lierse SK
30 Aug
RFC Seraing
1 : 1 Lierse SK
15 Aug
Virton
3 : 0 Lierse SK
09 Aug
Thes Sport
1 : 1 Lierse SK
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
St. Truiden -
TBD -
Diksmuide Oostende 0
Lommel SK 2
Westerlo -
TBD -
SK Roeselare 1
Patro Eisden 2
Crossing Schaerbeek 3
Beerschot VA 5
TBD -
Anderlecht -
Heist 3
Kortrijk 2
TBD -
Antwerp -
Waregem -
TBD -
Knokke 2
RFC Seraing 5
Club Brugge -
TBD -
Houtvenne 0
Sporting Lokeren 5
KV Mechelen -
TBD -
Merelbeke 0
Eupen 1
Union Rochefortoise 3
Lierse SK 2
TBD -
Gent -
SK Beveren -
TBD -
OC Charleroi 1
Habay La Neuve 2
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
Nijlen 3
Boom 1
Oostkamp 0
Virton 3
TBD -
Genk -
Londerzeel 0
Renaissance Mons 4
TBD -
Charleroi -
RAAL La Louviere -
TBD -
RFC Liege 4
Wellen 1
St. Liege -
TBD -
Hoogstraten 0
Dender 6
Leuven -
TBD -
Diegem 0
Francs Borains 1
Mandel United 1
Hasselt 3
TBD -
Cercle Brugge -
1/16-finals
St. Truiden -
Lommel SK -
Westerlo -
Patro Eisden -
Beerschot VA -
Anderlecht -
Heist -
Antwerp -
Waregem -
RFC Seraing -
Club Brugge -
Sporting Lokeren -
KV Mechelen -
Eupen -
Union Rochefortoise -
Gent -
SK Beveren -
Habay La Neuve -
Royale Union SG -
Nijlen -
Virton -
Genk -
Renaissance Mons -
Charleroi -
RAAL La Louviere -
RFC Liege -
St. Liege -
Dender -
Leuven -
Francs Borains -
Hasselt -
Cercle Brugge -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
