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Union SA vs Bafang - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cameroon Cameroon

Elite One
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Union SA host Bafang in the Elite One. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Union SA at 1.31 goals for, 0.97 against; Bafang at 1.76 for, 1.31 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (2.25 xG vs 1.19) point toward Bafang. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Union SA
30%
Draws
23%
Bafang
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Union SA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Union SA haven't matched Bafang's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Union SA taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Union SA Clean Sheet 20%
Bafang Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union SA Bafang
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 17
Draws 8 5
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.31 1.76
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union SA 67 / 100
Bafang 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union SA Bafang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union SA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union SA's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Union SA went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Bafang has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Bafang let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Union SA VS Bafang
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Union SA

(Home)
25 Oct
Aigle Royal
4 : 0
Union SA
17 Oct
Union SA
2 : 2
Stade Renard
20 Jun
Union SA
1 : 1
Les Astres
17 Jun
Atlantic
0 : 1
Union SA
15 Jun
Union SA
2 : 1
APEJES Academy
Page 1 of 6

Bafang

(Away)
24 Oct
Bafang
3 : 0
Victoria United
18 Oct
APEJES Academy
1 : 1
Bafang
28 Jun
Bafang
2 : 7
Dynamo Douala
17 Jun
Cotonsport
3 : 0
Bafang
14 Jun
Gazelle
2 : 0
Bafang
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aigle Royal 2 1 1 0 6:2 4
2 Bafang 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
3 Stade Renard 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
4 Canon Yaounde 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Panthere 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
6 Aigle Moungo 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
7 Victoria United 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
8 Dynamo Douala 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
9 Gazelle 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 Bamenda 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
11 APEJES Academy 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
12 Union SA 2 0 1 1 2:6 1
13 Colombe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Cotonsport 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)