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Union San Martin vs Credicoop San Cristobal

Peru Peru

Copa Peru 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Union San Martin play Credicoop San Cristobal in the Copa Peru 2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Union San Martin averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. Credicoop San Cristobal averaged 2 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. In past meetings, Union San Martin won 0, Credicoop San Cristobal won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 7, 2021 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for Union San Martin and 1.92 for Credicoop San Cristobal. This points to a Credicoop San Cristobal double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Union San Martin
32%
Draws
43%
Credicoop San Cristobal
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Credicoop San Cristobal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Union San Martin picked up more points recently compared to Credicoop San Cristobal.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.73 vs 1.92 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Union San Martin Clean Sheet 10%
Credicoop San Cristobal Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union San Martin Credicoop San Cristobal
Matches Played 11 17
Wins 3 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 1.45 2
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.57 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.71 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 7, 2021 Copa Peru
Union San Martin vs Credicoop San Cristobal
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union San Martin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.79

Credicoop San Cristobal Compare

Top Goalscorer Chirinos J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jimenez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union San Martin 25 / 100
Credicoop San Cristobal 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union San Martin Credicoop San Cristobal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Credicoop San Cristobal or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Union San Martin attacking → ← attacking Credicoop San Cristobal

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union San Martin scored in 73% of their last 11 games.

Credicoop San Cristobal let in goals in 65% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Union San Martin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Credicoop San Cristobal lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

13 Points in last 5 29
1.57 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
1.71 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1AD Tarma742116:914
2Credicoop San Cristobal734013:613
3Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)734013:713
4Los Caimanes72417:810
5Deportivo Maristas723211:119
6Union San Martin722311:128
7Parachique712411:165
8Estrella Azul70164:171