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Union San Martin vs Jose Galvez

Peru Peru

Copa Peru 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

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No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Union San Martin host Jose Galvez in the Copa Peru 2017. Little to choose between these two on current form. Jose Galvez have shipped 1.88 goals a game lately, while Union San Martin have conceded 1.63 and scored 0.88. Past meetings favor Union San Martin slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 12, 2017, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.13) point toward Union San Martin. Union San Martin in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Union San Martin
11%
Draws
9%
Jose Galvez
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Union San Martin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Jose Galvez has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Union San Martin.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Union San Martin.
  • Cup tournament structure in Copa Peru 2017 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Union San Martin Clean Sheet 20%
Jose Galvez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union San Martin Jose Galvez
Matches Played 11 30
Wins 3 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2017 Copa Peru
Jose Galvez vs Union San Martin
1:1
Nov 5, 2017 Copa Peru
Union San Martin vs Jose Galvez
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union San Martin 76 / 100
Jose Galvez 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union San Martin Jose Galvez

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SMA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union San Martin scored in 73% of their last 11 games.

Jose Galvez let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Union San Martin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Jose Galvez lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union San Martin VS Jose Galvez
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Atletico Grau3
Carlos Stein2
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)3
Jose Maria Arguedas3
Mariategui de Picota3
Independiente Aguas Verdes3
Sport La Vid2
Coronel2
Binacional5
Defensor Laure Sur2
Jose Galvez1
Union San Martin3
Estudiantil CNI2
Juan Aurich Pastor1
Diablos Rojos Huancavelica0
Las Palmas5
Stage 2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Stage 1
TBD-
TBD-
Final
Atletico Grau4
Jose Maria Arguedas4
Mariategui de Picota5
Coronel2
Binacional5
Union San Martin2
Estudiantil CNI3
Las Palmas3