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Union Sur Yaiza vs CD Laguna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Union Sur Yaiza host CD Laguna in the Tercera RFEF - Group 12. Little to choose between these two on current form. CD Laguna have shipped 1.79 goals a game lately, while Union Sur Yaiza have conceded 1.23 and scored 0.9. Head-to-head, Union Sur Yaiza have won 1 to CD Laguna's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2015, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 0.81, favoring CD Laguna. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Union Sur Yaiza
30%
Draws
12%
CD Laguna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Union Sur Yaiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Laguna come out ahead of Union Sur Yaiza on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Union Sur Yaiza's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Union Sur Yaiza Clean Sheet 20%
CD Laguna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Sur Yaiza CD Laguna
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.9 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs CD Laguna
1:0
Oct 11, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Laguna vs Union Sur Yaiza
1:0
Mar 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs CD Laguna
0:1
Nov 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Laguna vs Union Sur Yaiza
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Sur Yaiza 85 / 100
CD Laguna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Sur Yaiza CD Laguna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Sur Yaiza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Laguna conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Union Sur Yaiza remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: CD Laguna registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Union Sur Yaiza scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Union Sur Yaiza VS CD Laguna
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Sur Yaiza

(Home)
21 Oct
Villaverde Norte
0 : 1
Union Sur Yaiza
17 Oct
Real Union Tenerife
1 : 1
Union Sur Yaiza
10 Oct
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1
CD Marino
03 Oct
Los Llanos
1 : 0
Union Sur Yaiza
26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0
UD San Fernando
Page 1 of 6

CD Laguna

(Away)
21 Oct
Las Palmas C
3 : 0
CD Laguna
17 Oct
CD Laguna
1 : 1
UD Playas de Sotavento
10 Oct
CD Laguna
3 : 4
Panaderia
02 Oct
Real Union Tenerife
1 : 0
CD Laguna
26 Sept
CD Laguna
2 : 2
CD Marino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD San Fernando 7 6 0 1 19:4 18
2 Panaderia 7 5 1 1 23:12 16
3 CD Marino 7 4 1 2 16:9 13
4 San Miguel 7 4 1 2 12:7 13
5 Tenerife C 7 4 1 2 16:12 13
6 Real Union Tenerife 7 4 1 2 11:7 13
7 Las Palmas C 7 3 3 1 14:8 12
8 Mensajero 7 3 2 2 8:11 11
9 Los Llanos 7 3 1 3 9:7 10
10 San Bartolome 7 2 4 1 12:11 10
11 Union Sur Yaiza 7 3 1 3 8:8 10
12 Lanzarote 7 1 4 2 6:9 7
13 Estrella 7 2 1 4 7:13 7
14 Anaza 7 1 3 3 7:12 6
15 Villa Santa Brigida 7 1 3 3 6:11 6
16 UD Playas de Sotavento 7 0 3 4 5:20 3
17 CD Laguna 7 0 2 5 7:16 2
18 Villaverde Norte 7 0 2 5 5:14 2
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)