Sport Picks
Union Sur Yaiza vs CD Marino - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 
AI Match Summary
Union Sur Yaiza in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Union Sur Yaiza.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Marino
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Union Sur Yaiza haven't matched CD Marino's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans CD Marino's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Union Sur Yaiza Clean Sheet 20%
CD Marino Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Sur Yaiza | CD Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 7 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 15 |
| Losses | 17 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs CD Marino
2:1
Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Union Sur Yaiza
0:0
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs CD Marino
1:1
Mar 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Union Sur Yaiza
1:1
Oct 14, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs CD Marino
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union Sur Yaiza 28 / 100
CD Marino 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union Sur Yaiza CD Marino
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Marino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Marino let in goals in 82% of their last 33 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Union Sur Yaiza's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Union Sur Yaiza went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Union Sur Yaiza VS CD Marino
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Union Sur Yaiza
(Home) 03 Oct
Los Llanos
1 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0 UD San Fernando
19 Sept
Las Palmas C
4 : 2 Union Sur Yaiza
11 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
0 : 1 San Bartolome
10 May
Panaderia
0 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0 UD San Fernando
11 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
0 : 1 San Bartolome
03 May
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1 Telde
22 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
3 : 0 Arucas
19 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
1 : 0 Mensajero
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CD Marino
(Away) 04 Oct
CD Marino
6 : 1 UD Playas de Sotavento
26 Sept
CD Laguna
2 : 2 CD Marino
18 Sept
CD Marino
3 : 1 Real Union Tenerife
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2 Panaderia
08 Aug
Tenerife B
4 : 1 CD Marino
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
CD Laguna
2 : 2 CD Marino
08 Aug
Tenerife B
4 : 1 CD Marino
01 May
Villa Santa Brigida
3 : 0 CD Marino
18 Apr
San Miguel
2 : 0 CD Marino
08 Apr
Tamaraceite
2 : 2 CD Marino
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Miguel | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Real Union Tenerife | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 4 | Mensajero | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 9 |
| 5 | Las Palmas C | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 6 | San Bartolome | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 8 |
| 7 | CD Marino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 7 |
| 8 | Panaderia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:8 | 7 |
| 9 | Los Llanos | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 10 | Estrella | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 11 | Lanzarote | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 | Villa Santa Brigida | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 13 | Tenerife C | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | 4 |
| 14 | Anaza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | 4 |
| 15 | Union Sur Yaiza | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 16 | CD Laguna | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | 1 |
| 17 | Villaverde Norte | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | 1 |
| 18 | UD Playas de Sotavento | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:15 | 1 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)
