Sport Picks
Union Sur Yaiza vs El Cotillo
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 12 2018/2019 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 12 2018/2019 game between Union Sur Yaiza and El Cotillo finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Sur Yaiza.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
20%
42%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: El Cotillo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- El Cotillo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Union Sur Yaiza are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Union Sur Yaiza Clean Sheet 18%
El Cotillo Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Sur Yaiza | El Cotillo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.06 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs El Cotillo
4:1
Sep 9, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
El Cotillo vs Union Sur Yaiza
0:0
Mar 28, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs El Cotillo
1:1
Nov 1, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
El Cotillo vs Union Sur Yaiza
1:2
Jan 8, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs El Cotillo
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union Sur Yaiza 40 / 100
El Cotillo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union Sur Yaiza El Cotillo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union Sur Yaiza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Union Sur Yaiza remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
El Cotillo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Union Sur Yaiza scored in 48% of their last 31 games.
Scoring Trends
Union Sur Yaiza VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Union Sur Yaiza
(Home) 10 May
Panaderia
0 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
03 May
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1 Telde
26 Apr
CD Marino
0 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
22 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
3 : 0 Arucas
19 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
1 : 0 Mensajero
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03 May
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1 Telde
22 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
3 : 0 Arucas
19 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
1 : 0 Mensajero
01 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
1 : 4 San Bartolome
01 Mar
Union Sur Yaiza
3 : 0 San Miguel
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El Cotillo
(Away) 28 Aug
El Cotillo
1 : 0 Lanzarote
19 May
El Cotillo
2 : 1 CD Marino
12 May
Tacoronte
5 : 3 El Cotillo
05 May
El Cotillo
2 : 0 Atletico Union Guimar
27 Apr
Panaderia
0 : 1 El Cotillo
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12 May
Tacoronte
5 : 3 El Cotillo
27 Apr
Panaderia
0 : 1 El Cotillo
07 Apr
Lanzarote
4 : 0 El Cotillo
24 Mar
CD Buzanada
2 : 1 El Cotillo
09 Mar
CD Santa Ursula
0 : 0 El Cotillo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tamaraceite | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 61:33 | 67 |
| 2 | Mensajero | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 61:38 | 64 |
| 3 | Union Viera | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 53:45 | 63 |
| 4 | Tenerife B | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 47:28 | 61 |
| 5 | Lanzarote | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 58:43 | 60 |
| 6 | Las Palmas C | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 45:28 | 59 |
| 7 | Villa Santa Brigida | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 51:38 | 57 |
| 8 | UD San Fernando | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 66:59 | 56 |
| 9 | CD Santa Ursula | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 37:36 | 53 |
| 10 | Ibarra | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 43:58 | 52 |
| 11 | Atletico Union Guimar | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 48:49 | 48 |
| 12 | CD Marino | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 53:48 | 47 |
| 13 | Tacoronte | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39:45 | 45 |
| 14 | CD Buzanada | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 38:50 | 45 |
| 15 | CD La Cuadra | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 43:46 | 45 |
| 16 | SD Tenisca | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:50 | 45 |
| 17 | Panaderia | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 62:68 | 44 |
| 18 | Union Sur Yaiza | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 32:55 | 43 |
| 19 | El Cotillo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 39:62 | 41 |
| 20 | Las Zocas | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 37:75 | 35 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
