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Union Sur Yaiza vs San Miguel

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Union Sur Yaiza play San Miguel in the Tercera RFEF - Group 12. It looks like a close match. Recently, Union Sur Yaiza averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. San Miguel averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Union Sur Yaiza won 2, San Miguel won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 1, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Union Sur Yaiza and 1.31 for San Miguel. This points to a Union Sur Yaiza double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Union Sur Yaiza
33%
Draws
27%
San Miguel
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Union Sur Yaiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • San Miguel has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Union Sur Yaiza.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Union Sur Yaiza.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 12 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Union Sur Yaiza Clean Sheet 18%
San Miguel Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Sur Yaiza San Miguel
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs San Miguel
3:0
Oct 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Miguel vs Union Sur Yaiza
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Sur Yaiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez A.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

San Miguel Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Sur Yaiza 40 / 100
San Miguel 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Sur Yaiza San Miguel

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Sur Yaiza scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

San Miguel let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Union Sur Yaiza went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

San Miguel lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union Sur Yaiza VS San Miguel
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Paso341813351:1967
2UD San Fernando34199649:2366
3Mensajero34189751:3163
4Tamaraceite34196956:3663
5Panaderia341510947:3355
6Las Palmas C341591058:4254
7Tenerife C3414101049:4652
8Villa Santa Brigida341551442:3550
9Lanzarote3412121045:3648
10Real Union Tenerife341291334:3245
11San Miguel341091537:4339
12CD Marino348151144:4039
13Union Sur Yaiza341081633:4338
14San Bartolome348121430:5536
15Arucas347121531:4733
16Herbania347111639:5832
17SD Tenisca34672132:6825
18Telde345101930:7125