Sport Picks
Union Sur Yaiza vs UD San Fernando - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 
Match Events
64'
64'
Medina J.
90'
90'
Guijarro J.
AI Match Summary
Union Sur Yaiza in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Union Sur Yaiza.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD San Fernando
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to UD San Fernando lately — more wins on the board than Union Sur Yaiza.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Union Sur Yaiza Clean Sheet 18%
UD San Fernando Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Sur Yaiza | UD San Fernando |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 0.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs UD San Fernando
2:0
Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD San Fernando vs Union Sur Yaiza
3:0
Nov 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs UD San Fernando
0:1
Apr 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD San Fernando vs Union Sur Yaiza
0:2
Dec 3, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs UD San Fernando
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Union Sur Yaiza Compare
Top Goalscorer Medina J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Guijarro J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
UD San Fernando Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union Sur Yaiza 32 / 100
UD San Fernando 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union Sur Yaiza UD San Fernando
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UD San Fernando Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Union Sur Yaiza's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
UD San Fernando's defensive record shows goals conceded in 41% of 29 matches.
Union Sur Yaiza has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Union Sur Yaiza VS UD San Fernando
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Union Sur Yaiza
(Home) 10 Oct
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1 CD Marino
03 Oct
Los Llanos
1 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0 UD San Fernando
19 Sept
Las Palmas C
4 : 2 Union Sur Yaiza
11 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
0 : 1 San Bartolome
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1 CD Marino
26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0 UD San Fernando
11 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
0 : 1 San Bartolome
03 May
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1 Telde
22 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
3 : 0 Arucas
Page 1 of 3
UD San Fernando
(Away) 04 Oct
UD San Fernando
3 : 0 Estrella
26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0 UD San Fernando
20 Sept
UD San Fernando
5 : 0 UD Playas de Sotavento
12 Sept
CD Laguna
0 : 3 UD San Fernando
08 Sept
UD San Fernando
1 : 3 Orihuela
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0 UD San Fernando
12 Sept
CD Laguna
0 : 3 UD San Fernando
30 May
Tamaraceite
3 : 0 UD San Fernando
16 May
Panaderia
0 : 2 UD San Fernando
10 May
Mensajero
1 : 0 UD San Fernando
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Union Tenerife | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 2 | San Miguel | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Panaderia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:11 | 10 |
| 4 | UD San Fernando | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:2 | 9 |
| 5 | Mensajero | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 9 |
| 6 | Las Palmas C | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 7 | San Bartolome | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 8 |
| 8 | CD Marino | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 7 |
| 9 | Tenerife C | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 7 |
| 10 | Los Llanos | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 11 | Estrella | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 12 | Lanzarote | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 13 | Villa Santa Brigida | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 14 | Union Sur Yaiza | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 15 | Anaza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | 4 |
| 16 | CD Laguna | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6:12 | 1 |
| 17 | Villaverde Norte | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:12 | 1 |
| 18 | UD Playas de Sotavento | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:18 | 1 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)
