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Union Touarga vs Jeunesse Massira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Morocco Morocco

Botola Pro 2025/2026 Stade Prince Moulay Hassan, Rabat
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Al Cheikhi M.
40'
Belouad H.
45'
Dahmani Y.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Union Touarga advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Union Touarga
35%
Draws
27%
Jeunesse Massira
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Union Touarga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Union Touarga's 1.17 goals per match outpaces what Jeunesse Massira have produced (0.96).
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Union Touarga taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Union Touarga, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Union Touarga Clean Sheet 68%
Jeunesse Massira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Touarga Jeunesse Massira
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.17 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Botola Pro
Union Touarga vs Jeunesse Massira
3:0
Jul 17, 2026 Botola Pro
Jeunesse Massira vs Union Touarga
1:1
Feb 4, 2022 Botola 2
Union Touarga vs Jeunesse Massira
3:2
Sep 24, 2021 Botola 2
Jeunesse Massira vs Union Touarga
1:1
Feb 11, 2006 Botola Pro
Union Touarga vs Jeunesse Massira
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Touarga Compare

Top Goalscorer Rhailouf W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arjoune O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Jeunesse Massira Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Touarga 95 / 100
Jeunesse Massira 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Touarga Jeunesse Massira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Touarga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Touarga has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Union Touarga found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Jeunesse Massira has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Union Touarga VS Jeunesse Massira
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Touarga

(Home)
08 Oct
Union Touarga
0 : 0
Berkane
02 Oct
Widad Temara
0 : 1
Union Touarga
26 Sept
Union Touarga
2 : 1
FUS Rabat
21 Jul
Union Touarga
3 : 0
Jeunesse Massira
17 Jul
Jeunesse Massira
1 : 1
Union Touarga
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Jeunesse Massira

(Away)
04 Oct
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
0 : 0
Jeunesse Massira
27 Sept
Jeunesse Massira
2 : 1
Stade Marocain
21 Jul
Union Touarga
3 : 0
Jeunesse Massira
17 Jul
Jeunesse Massira
1 : 1
Union Touarga
05 Jul
Jeunesse Massira
3 : 1
Raja Beni Mellal
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Dcheira 1
Amal Tiznit 1
Jeunesse Massira 1
Union Touarga 4