Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Robaina T.
51'
51'
Sullivan M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
20%
58%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Panaderia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Union Viera haven't matched Panaderia's recent run of results.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Panaderia taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Union Viera Clean Sheet 23%
Panaderia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Viera | Panaderia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 19 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.87 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Viera vs Panaderia
1:1
Sep 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs Union Viera
4:2
Mar 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs Union Viera
1:1
Dec 11, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Viera vs Panaderia
1:3
Apr 12, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Viera vs Panaderia
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Union Viera Compare
Top Goalscorer Sullivan M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Panaderia Compare
Top Goalscorer Robaina T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union Viera 13 / 100
Panaderia 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union Viera Panaderia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Panaderia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Panaderia has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Union Viera scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
Solid form: Union Viera remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Panaderia
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Union Viera
(Home) 10 May
Union Viera
4 : 6 San Bartolome
04 May
CD Santa Ursula
2 : 0 Union Viera
26 Apr
Union Viera
2 : 0 CD Buzanada
17 Apr
CD Marino
1 : 0 Union Viera
12 Apr
Union Viera
1 : 3 Mensajero
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Union Viera
4 : 6 San Bartolome
26 Apr
Union Viera
2 : 0 CD Buzanada
12 Apr
Union Viera
1 : 3 Mensajero
28 Mar
Union Viera
0 : 3 Arucas
14 Mar
Union Viera
0 : 0 Villa Santa Brigida
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Panaderia
(Away) 19 Sept
Panaderia
3 : 3 Tenerife C
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2 Panaderia
24 May
UD San Fernando
1 : 2 Panaderia
16 May
Panaderia
0 : 2 UD San Fernando
10 May
Panaderia
0 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
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13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2 Panaderia
24 May
UD San Fernando
1 : 2 Panaderia
03 May
San Miguel
1 : 1 Panaderia
22 Apr
Las Palmas C
1 : 0 Panaderia
19 Apr
SD Tenisca
1 : 1 Panaderia
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Palmas B | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 66:17 | 76 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 58:20 | 73 |
| 3 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 48:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Ibarra | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 49:40 | 59 |
| 5 | Mensajero | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 50:37 | 56 |
| 6 | Lanzarote | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 56:33 | 55 |
| 7 | Panaderia | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 45:39 | 50 |
| 8 | CD Marino | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 43:45 | 47 |
| 9 | Arucas | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 38:36 | 45 |
| 10 | San Bartolome | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 43:35 | 45 |
| 11 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 34:42 | 41 |
| 12 | Herbania | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 33:41 | 40 |
| 13 | CD Santa Ursula | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 29:42 | 40 |
| 14 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | CD Buzanada | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 27:54 | 32 |
| 16 | Estrella | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 30:57 | 30 |
| 17 | Los Llanos | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 25:52 | 28 |
| 18 | Union Viera | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 28:65 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
