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Unirea Slobozia vs Mostistea Ulmu

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 2 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Unirea Slobozia play Mostistea Ulmu in the Liga 3 - Seria 2 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Unirea Slobozia averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. Mostistea Ulmu averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, Unirea Slobozia won 3, Mostistea Ulmu won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 7, 2020 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Unirea Slobozia and 1.31 for Mostistea Ulmu. This points to a Mostistea Ulmu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Unirea Slobozia
21%
Draws
52%
Mostistea Ulmu
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Mostistea Ulmu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Unirea Slobozia picked up more points recently compared to Mostistea Ulmu.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Unirea Slobozia Clean Sheet 18%
Mostistea Ulmu Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unirea Slobozia Mostistea Ulmu
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 1.09 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.59 0.93

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2020 Romanian Cup
Mostistea Ulmu vs Unirea Slobozia
3:1
Aug 9, 2020 Liga 3 - Promotion Play Offs
Unirea Slobozia vs Mostistea Ulmu
2:0
Aug 5, 2020 Liga 3 - Promotion Play Offs
Mostistea Ulmu vs Unirea Slobozia
0:2
Nov 30, 2019 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Unirea Slobozia vs Mostistea Ulmu
0:0
Mar 4, 2011 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Unirea Slobozia vs Mostistea Ulmu
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unirea Slobozia 28 / 100
Mostistea Ulmu 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unirea Slobozia Mostistea Ulmu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mostistea Ulmu or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Unirea Slobozia attacking → ← attacking Mostistea Ulmu

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unirea Slobozia scored in 59% of their last 34 games.

Mostistea Ulmu let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Unirea Slobozia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mostistea Ulmu lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 53
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Unirea Slobozia16124038:1240
2Mostistea Ulmu16114132:1037
3Afumati16113252:1036
4Tunari16113237:1936
5Inainte Modelu1682626:2926
6Viitorul Ianca1681719:2025
7Popesti Leordeni1674524:1525
8Agricola Borcea1663735:3821
9CS Faurei1663723:2421
10Metalul Buzau1662818:2320
11Poseidon Limanu-2 Mai1662827:3120
12Medgidia1636722:3215
13Axiopolis Cernavoda1643920:4215
14Braila16321113:3711
15FCSB 216241018:3110
16Recolta Gheorghe Doja16021413:442