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United Arab Emirates U20 vs Lebanon U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

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AFC Asian Cup U20 2025
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Match Events

34'
Sosu S.
45' Event
Eid Alhammadi R. S.
46' Event
Khayat A.

AI Match Summary

United Arab Emirates U20 in this AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
United Arab Emirates U20
20%
Draws
51%
Lebanon U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lebanon U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • United Arab Emirates U20 have won more games recently than Lebanon U20.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • United Arab Emirates U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor United Arab Emirates U20, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • United Arab Emirates U20 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
United Arab Emirates U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Lebanon U20 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United Arab Emirates U20 Lebanon U20
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 9 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.41 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2024 AFC Asian Cup U20
United Arab Emirates U20 vs Lebanon U20
3:2
Jan 24, 2024 Friendly International
United Arab Emirates U20 vs Lebanon U20
1:0
Jan 21, 2024 Friendly International
United Arab Emirates U20 vs Lebanon U20
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

United Arab Emirates U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Eid Alhammadi R. S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khayat A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Lebanon U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Khawaja J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kassas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United Arab Emirates U20 32 / 100
Lebanon U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United Arab Emirates U20 Lebanon U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lebanon U20 let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

United Arab Emirates U20's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

United Arab Emirates U20 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

United Arab Emirates U20 VS Lebanon U20
0.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

United Arab Emirates U20

(Home)
06 Sept
United Arab Emirates U20
3 : 2
Turkmenistan U20
03 Sept
United Arab Emirates U20
1 : 2
Iraq U20
31 Aug
Thailand U20
1 : 0
United Arab Emirates U20
24 Aug
Kuwait U20
1 : 0
United Arab Emirates U20
21 Aug
Indonesia U20
0 : 0
United Arab Emirates U20
Page 1 of 6

Lebanon U20

(Away)
03 Sept
Kyrgyzstan U20
2 : 3
Lebanon U20
31 Aug
Lebanon U20
2 : 3
South Korea U20
24 Aug
Lebanon U20
2 : 2
Tajikistan U20
21 Aug
Lebanon U20
0 : 1
Tajikistan U20
05 Jul
Lebanon U20
2 : 1
Syria U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria U20 4 4 0 0 16:1 12
2 Vietnam U20 4 3 0 1 12:2 9
3 Bangladesh U20 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
4 Guam U20 4 0 2 2 4:16 2
5 Bhutan U20 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U20 4 4 0 0 21:1 12
2 Cambodia U20 4 2 1 1 6:9 7
3 Bahrain U20 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
4 Nepal U20 4 1 0 3 4:15 3
5 Chinese Taipei U20 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U20 4 4 0 0 18:2 12
2 United Arab Emirates U20 4 2 1 1 17:5 7
3 Kuwait U20 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
4 Lebanon U20 4 1 0 3 11:8 3
5 Northern Mariana Islands U20 4 0 0 4 0:37 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U20 4 3 1 0 10:0 10
2 Australia U20 4 3 1 0 6:1 10
3 Afghanistan U20 4 1 1 2 1:6 4
4 Palestine U20 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
5 Macau U20 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U20 4 3 1 0 7:0 10
2 Oman U20 4 2 0 2 9:4 6
3 Tajikistan U20 4 2 0 2 5:5 6
4 Malaysia U20 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
5 Sri Lanka U20 4 0 1 3 1:13 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U20 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
2 Yemen U20 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
3 Timor-Leste U20 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
4 Maldives U20 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U20 3 3 0 0 17:0 9
2 India U20 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Laos U20 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
4 Mongolia U20 3 0 0 3 1:18 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U20 3 3 0 0 18:0 9
2 Thailand U20 3 2 0 1 18:1 6
3 Philippines U20 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Brunei U20 3 0 0 3 0:32 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U20 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Kyrgyzstan U20 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
3 Turkmenistan U20 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
4 Myanmar U20 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U20 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Jordan U20 3 2 0 1 11:3 6
3 Hong Kong U20 3 1 0 2 2:9 3
4 Singapore U20 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams