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United Arab Emirates U20 vs South Korea U20

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Kim T.
41' Event
Abbas H.
60' Event
Kim Gyeol

AI Match Summary

South Korea U20 in this AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
United Arab Emirates U20
33%
Draws
27%
South Korea U20
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: United Arab Emirates U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to South Korea U20 lately — more wins on the board than United Arab Emirates U20.
  • Model gives United Arab Emirates U20 a 40% chance of winning this.
  • South Korea U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor South Korea U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
United Arab Emirates U20 Clean Sheet 20%
South Korea U20 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United Arab Emirates U20 South Korea U20
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2024 AFC Asian Cup U20
United Arab Emirates U20 vs South Korea U20
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

United Arab Emirates U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Abbas H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

South Korea U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kim Gyeol
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United Arab Emirates U20 40 / 100
South Korea U20 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United Arab Emirates U20 South Korea U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UAE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: South Korea U20 conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

United Arab Emirates U20 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

South Korea U20's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

United Arab Emirates U20 VS South Korea U20
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

United Arab Emirates U20

(Home)
08 Feb
Qatar U20
0 : 0
United Arab Emirates U20
05 Feb
Qatar U20
3 : 1
United Arab Emirates U20
10 Jan
United Arab Emirates U20
0 : 2
Iraq U20
07 Jan
United Arab Emirates U20
0 : 1
Iraq U20
25 Mar
Egypt U20
5 : 1
United Arab Emirates U20
Page 1 of 6

South Korea U20

(Away)
09 Oct
Morocco U20
2 : 1
South Korea U20
03 Oct
Panama U20
1 : 2
South Korea U20
30 Sept
South Korea U20
0 : 0
Paraguay U20
27 Sept
South Korea U20
1 : 2
Ukraine U20
14 Sept
Chile U20
2 : 1
South Korea U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Syria U20440016:112
2Vietnam U20430112:29
3Bangladesh U2041125:114
4Guam U2040224:162
5Bhutan U2040132:91
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uzbekistan U20440021:112
2Cambodia U2042116:97
3Bahrain U2042025:66
4Nepal U2041034:153
5Chinese Taipei U2040133:81
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Korea U20440018:212
2United Arab Emirates U20421117:57
3Kuwait U2042119:37
4Lebanon U20410311:83
5Northern Mariana Islands U2040040:370
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saudi Arabia U20431010:010
2Australia U2043106:110
3Afghanistan U2041121:64
4Palestine U2040222:42
5Macau U2040131:91
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1North Korea U2043107:010
2Oman U2042029:46
3Tajikistan U2042025:56
4Malaysia U2041213:35
5Sri Lanka U2040131:131
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Indonesia U2032108:27
2Yemen U2032107:27
3Timor-Leste U2031026:73
4Maldives U2030031:110
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iran U20330017:09
2India U2032016:26
3Laos U2031026:103
4Mongolia U2030031:180
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iraq U20330018:09
2Thailand U20320118:16
3Philippines U2031024:73
4Brunei U2030030:320
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Japan U2032109:17
2Kyrgyzstan U2032104:17
3Turkmenistan U2031024:43
4Myanmar U2030031:120
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Qatar U2033008:29
2Jordan U20320111:36
3Hong Kong U2031022:93
4Singapore U2030030:70
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams